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	<title>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press &#187; U.S. Political Parties</title>
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		<title>Obama Maintains Approval Advantage, but GOP Runs Even on Key Issues</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/05/08/obama-maintains-approval-advantage-but-gop-runs-even-on-key-issues/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/05/08/obama-maintains-approval-advantage-but-gop-runs-even-on-key-issues/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 15:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20051189</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview President Obama continues to hold a substantial advantage over congressional Republicans in public regard. Obama’s job approval is back in positive territory at 51%, after slipping to 47% in March. By comparison, just 22% approve of the job Republican leaders in Congress are doing, among the lowest approval rating for congressional leaders from either [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>President Obama continues to hold a substantial advantage over congressional Republicans in public regard. Obama’s job approval is back in positive territory at 51%, after slipping to <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051192" alt="5-8-13 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-1.png" width="411" height="342" /></a>47% in March. By comparison, just 22% approve of the job Republican leaders in Congress are doing, among the lowest approval rating for congressional leaders from either party in 20 years.</p>
<p>Furthermore, a record-high 80% say Obama and Republican leaders are not working together to address important issues facing the country, and by nearly two-to-one (42%-22%) more blame Republican leaders than Obama for the gridlock.</p>
<p>Despite GOP leaders’ poor job ratings, the Republican Party runs about even with the Democrats on leading issues such as the economy, immigration and gun control. Overall, 42% say the Republican Party could do the better job dealing with the economy, while 38% say the Democratic Party. The public is similarly divided over which party could better handle gun control policy and immigration policy.</p>
<p>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted May 1-5 among 1,504 adults, finds that Republicans have particularly low regard for their party’s congressional leaders. Just 42% approve of the job GOP leaders in Congress are doing, while 51% disapprove. This is far below the job ratings that Democrats give their party’s leaders (60% approve, 32% disapprove).</p>
<p>Despite their frustration with the party’s leadership, Republicans overwhelmingly say the GOP could do a better job than the Democratic Party when it comes to issues like the economy, immigration and gun control. By comparison, fewer Democrats side with their party on the economy and gun control, which is one reason why Republicans run even with the Democrats overall. On each of these three issues, independents are split as to whether the Republican Party or the Democratic Party could do better.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051193" alt="5-8-13 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-2.png" width="296" height="325" /></a>As Obama works toward advancing his second-term agenda, the public is divided over whether he is someone who is <em>able to get things done</em> (49%) or not (46%). Views of Obama’s effectiveness have declined since shortly after his re-election, when more saw him as effective (57%) than did not (37%).</p>
<p>While the public offers mixed views of Obama’s effectiveness in a gridlocked political environment, most say he <em>fights hard to get his policies passed</em> (67%) and 76% describe him as someone who <em>stands up for what he believes in</em>. Both impressions hold with majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents. Views of his leadership and effectiveness, by contrast, are highly polarized.</p>
<h3>Views of Obama, Congressional Leaders</h3>
<p>At 51%, Barack Obama’s overall job approval rating has edged back up from a recent low of 47% in mid-March. But it still trails his 55% <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051194" alt="5-8-13 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-3.png" width="294" height="310" /></a>approval rating in early December, a month after his re-election victory.</p>
<p>Ratings of Republican leaders in Congress remain near all-time lows. By about three-to-one, more disapprove (68%) than approve (22%) of the job GOP leaders in Congress are doing. Republican leaders’ job approval has changed little since December of last year (25%).</p>
<p>Democratic leaders are viewed only somewhat more positively. Overall, 32% approve of the job Democratic leaders in Congress are doing, while 59% disapprove. In December, 40% approved of the job performance of Democratic leaders.</p>
<p>Republicans express mixed views of the job performance of their party’s congressional leaders: 42% approve, while 51% disapprove. By contrast, almost twice as many Democrats approve as disapprove of the job of Democratic congressional leaders (60% vs. 32%).</p>
<p>Independents continue to take a dim view of the job performance of both parties’ congressional leaders: Just 23% approve of Democratic leaders’ job performance while 18% give GOP leaders a positive job rating.</p>
<h3>Parties Run Even on Key Issues</h3>
<p>The Republican Party runs about even with the Democratic Party on three key issues: the economy, immigration and gun control. In recent years, neither political party has held a decisive advantage on these issues. The Democratic Party led on the economy through much of George W. Bush’s second term and Obama’s first year in office. But since 2010, about as <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051195" alt="5-8-13 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-4.png" width="294" height="374" /></a>many have favored the GOP as the Democrats.</p>
<p>Similarly, neither party has had a consistent advantage on dealing with immigration. The current survey finds opinion split evenly; Democrats held a slim advantage in late 2012, while Republicans held a slight edge in 2011.</p>
<p>And while the gun debate has drawn significant public attention over the past four months (see: <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/04/08/gun-debate-draws-more-interest-than-immigration-policy-debate/">Gun Debate Draws More Interest than Immigration Policy Debate</a>, released April 8, 2013), it has not resulted in an advantage for either political party. In the immediate wake of the shootings in Newtown, Conn., Americans were divided over which party could better address gun control, and that divide persists today.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051196" alt="5-8-13 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-5.png" width="294" height="414" /></a>Independents are split over which party can do the better job on key issues. Overall, 38% of independents say the Republican Party could do the better job on the economy while nearly as many (35%) say the Democratic Party. Similarly, independents are divided over who can better address immigration (36% say each party) and gun control (41% Republican Party, 35% Democratic Party). On all three issues, about a quarter of independents volunteer no preference between the two parties.</p>
<p>Eight-in-ten Republicans (79%) say the GOP could do the better job dealing with the economy, while just 9% say the Democratic Party. Fewer Democrats (65%) say their party could do better on the economy, while 22% say the GOP could do better.</p>
<p>Similarly, while 76% of Republicans say the Republican Party better reflects their views on gun control, 66% of Democrats choose the Democratic Party. On dealing with immigration, 69% of Republicans prefer the GOP while about as many Democrats (63%) say the Democratic Party could do better.</p>
<h3>Eight-in-Ten Say Obama, GOP Leaders Not Working Together</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051197" alt="5-8-13 #6" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-6.png" width="411" height="296" /></a>The percentage saying that Obama and Republican leaders are not working together has risen steadily during Obama’s presidency. Currently, 80% say the two sides are not working together, up from 65% in February 2011 (shortly after Republicans won control of the House) and just 45% in early 2009.</p>
<p>By nearly two-to-one, those who see a lack of cooperation are more likely to blame Republican leaders in Congress (42%) than Obama (22%) for the gridlock. The percentage blaming <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-7.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051198" alt="5-8-13 #7" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-7.png" width="295" height="283" /></a>Republicans is up 11 points since February 2011, while the percentage blaming Obama is little changed over that time period.</p>
<p>Republicans and Democrats are about equally likely to say that GOP leaders and Obama are not cooperating, but Republicans are more likely to say their own party is at least partly to blame for gridlock than are Democrats.</p>
<p>Overall, 53% of Republicans blame Obama for the lack of cooperation in Washington. However, 28% say either that GOP leaders (12%) or both Republican leaders and Obama (17%) are to blame for not working together on important issues.</p>
<p>Democrats are less likely to see any blame on their side of the aisle. Seven-in-ten (70%) blame GOP leaders for the gridlock in Washington, while just 7% say either that Obama is most to blame (4%) or volunteer that both parties are to blame (3%).</p>
<p>Independents are much more likely to say that Republican leaders are to blame for the lack of cooperation in Washington (39%) than Obama (20%); 17% volunteer that both are to blame.</p>
<h3><a name="fight-hard"></a>Majorities Say Obama Stands up for Beliefs, Fights for Policies</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-8.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051199" alt="5-8-13 #8" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-8.png" width="412" height="330" /></a>Following the failure of gun control legislation backed by the Obama administration, most continue to say that Obama stands up for what he believes in (76%) and that he fights hard to get his policies passed (67%). Most also say that Obama is a strong leader (56%); 40% say he is not a strong leader.</p>
<p>However, the percentage saying that Obama is able to get things done has edged down since shortly after Obama’s second inauguration. In the current survey, about as many say Obama is able to get things done (49%) as not able to get things done (46%). In January, Obama was viewed as able to get things done by a 57%-37% margin.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-9.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051200" alt="5-8-13 #9" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-9.png" width="410" height="288" /></a>Majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents agree that Obama stands up for what he believes in and fights hard to get his policies passed. There is far less partisan agreement over Obama’s leadership ability and effectiveness.</p>
<p>Just 18% of Republicans view Obama as a strong leader and an identical percentage say he is able to get things done. Fully 86% of Democrats say Obama is a strong leader and 74% say he is able to get things done.</p>
<p>By a 56%-41% margin, more independents say Obama is a strong leader than not. However, independents are divided over whether Obama is able to get things done (46%) or not (49%).</p>
<h3>Views of Obama Similar to Bush at Comparable Point</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-10.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051201" alt="5-8-13 #10" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-10.png" width="294" height="322" /></a>Impressions of Obama’s leadership and effectiveness are similar to those of George W. Bush at comparable points in their presidencies.</p>
<p>Currently, 56% say Obama is a strong leader, while 41% say he is not a strong leader. Public views of Bush’s leadership were nearly the same in July 2005, in the first year of his second term (55% strong leader, 41% not).</p>
<p>Bush also got about the same rating for his ability to get things done as Obama does today (50% vs. 49% for Obama). Bill Clinton received more positive ratings for effectiveness than either Obama or Bush in the first year of his second term; in August 1997, 64% said Clinton was able to get things done.</p>
<h3>More Approve than Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-11.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051202" alt="5-8-13 #11" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-11.png" width="296" height="317" /></a>Overall, 51% approve of the job Obama is doing as president, while 43% disapprove. Obama’s job ratings have ticked up since March (47% approve, 46% disapprove), but remain less positive than they were in December, immediately following his re-election (55% approve, 39% disapprove).</p>
<p>Among independents, 48% approve of the job Obama is doing while 45% disapprove. Democrats overwhelmingly approve of Obama’s job performance (85% approve vs. 9% disapprove), while Republicans disapprove by a similar margin (85% disapprove vs. 12% approve).</p>
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		<title>State Governments Viewed Favorably as Federal Rating Hits New Low</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/04/15/state-govermnents-viewed-favorably-as-federal-rating-hits-new-low/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/04/15/state-govermnents-viewed-favorably-as-federal-rating-hits-new-low/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Apr 2013 13:56:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20050810</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview Even as public views of the federal government in Washington have fallen to another new low, the public continues to see their state and local governments in a favorable light. Overall, 63% say they have a favorable opinion of their local government, virtually unchanged over recent years. And 57% express a favorable view of [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>Even as public views of the federal government in Washington have fallen to another new low, the public continues to see their state and local governments in a favorable light. Overall, <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050813" alt="4-15-13 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-1.png" width="296" height="330" /></a>63% say they have a favorable opinion of their local government, virtually unchanged over recent years. And 57% express a favorable view of their state government – a five-point uptick from last year. By contrast, just 28% rate the federal government in Washington favorably. That is down five points from a year ago and the lowest percentage ever in a Pew Research Center survey.</p>
<p>The percentage of Democrats expressing a favorable opinion of the federal government has declined 10 points in the past year, from 51% to 41%. For the first time since Barack Obama became president, more Democrats say they have an unfavorable view of the federal government in Washington than a favorable view (51% unfavorable vs. 41% favorable). Favorable opinions of the federal government among Republicans, already quite low in 2012 (20% favorable), have fallen even further, to 13% currently.</p>
<p>The national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted March 13-17 among 1,501 adults, finds positive ratings across party lines for state and local governments overall. But the partisan makeup of the state government matters: Republicans give more positive ratings to GOP-led state governments, while Democrats rate Democratic-led state governments more highly.</p>
<p>Notably, politically divided state governments get positive ratings from members of both parties. In the 13 states with divided governments – those in which the governor and a majority of state legislators are from different parties – majorities of both Republicans and Democrats express favorable opinions of their state governments.</p>
<p>A sizable majority of Americans (69%) say that their state is currently facing budget problems. However, assessments of state budgets were even more negative two years ago; in February 2011, 81% said their state was encountering budget problems. And while just 30% say that economic conditions in their state are excellent or good, that is nearly double the percentage expressing a positive view of the national economy (16% excellent or good).</p>
<h3><a name="partisan-views"></a>Partisan Views of Government</h3>
<p>Currently, 41% of Democrats say they have a favorable opinion of the federal government, compared with 27% of independents and just 13% of Republicans. By contrast, state and local <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050814" alt="4-15-13 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-2.png" width="410" height="293" /></a>governments are viewed favorably across-the-board.</p>
<p>Nearly identical percentages of Democrats (56%), Republicans (57%) and independents (59%) have a favorable opinion of their state’s government. Similarly, local governments receive positive ratings from 67% of Democrats, 63% of Republicans and 60% of independents.</p>
<p>While there is partisan agreement in overall ratings of state governments, these opinions differ markedly depending on which party controls the government.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050815" alt="4-15-13 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-3.png" width="296" height="424" /></a>Fully 71% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who live in Republican-led states (those with a GOP governor and state legislature) have a favorable opinion of their state government. But just 30% of Republicans living in Democratic-led states view their state governments favorably.</p>
<p>Democrats and Democratic leaners in Democratic-led states express positive views of their state governments (64% favorable). But unlike Republicans, Democrats do not have unfavorable opinions of state governments led by the opposing party. Among Democrats living in Republican-led states, as many have a favorable (50%) as unfavorable (46%) opinion of their state government.</p>
<p>Politically divided state governments receive about the same ratings from Democrats and Democratic leaners (64% favorable) as from Republicans and Republican leaners (58% favorable).</p>
<h3>Views of State Governors</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050816" alt="4-15-13 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-4.png" width="296" height="335" /></a>Overall, state governors received a positive rating from the public: 55% rate their state’s governor favorably, compared with 30% who hold an unfavorable view. Views of state governors in states with a Republican officeholder (55% favorable) are nearly identical to views in states with Democratic governors (56%).</p>
<p>Unlike views of state governments, neither Republicans nor Democrats offer highly negative ratings of their governor, even in cases where the opposing party holds office.</p>
<p>Overall, 43% of Republicans and Republican leaners in states with a Democratic governor rate their state governor favorably, while 48% have an unfavorable view. Opinions among Democrats and leaners in states with an opposing party governor also are mixed: 43% of Democrats in states with a Republican governor express a favorable view of their state governor, 44% an unfavorable one.</p>
<p>Both Republicans and Democrats offer a highly favorable view of their governor in states where their own party is in control (73% of Republicans and Republican leaners, 68% of Democrats and Democratic leaners).</p>
<h3><a name="modest-improvement"></a>Modest Improvement in Views of State Budgets</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050817" alt="4-15-13 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-5.png" width="295" height="400" /></a>Nearly seven-in-ten Americans (69%) say their state is experiencing budget problems, down from 81% two years ago. The percentage saying their state does not face budget problems has nearly doubled, from 12% to 21%, during this period.</p>
<p>The percentage saying their state’s budget problems are very serious also has dipped, from 36% in February 2011 to 31% currently.</p>
<p>State economic ratings also have shown modest improvement. Three-in-ten (30%) say economic conditions in their state are excellent (3%) or good (27%), up from 23% two years ago.</p>
<p>Ratings of state economic conditions are more positive than national economic ratings. Just 16% describe national economic conditions <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050818" alt="4-15-13 #6" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-6.png" width="295" height="238" /></a>as excellent or good; this compares with 30% who describe the economy of the state they live in as excellent or good in the current survey.</p>
<p>Respondents in states with a Republican governor offer slightly better economic ratings than those living in states with a Democratic governor. About a third (34%) of those in states with a GOP governor describe economic conditions as excellent or good, compared with 24% of those in states with Democratic governors. Similarly, fewer in Republican-governed states say their state is currently experiencing budget problems (66%) than those in Democratic-governed states (73%).</p>
<h3>Federal Government’s Declining Favorability</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-7.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050819" alt="4-15-13 #7" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/04/4-15-13-7.png" width="298" height="728" /></a>Favorable ratings for the federal government rose dramatically after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, but have declined substantially since then. In November 2001, 82% had a favorable opinion of the government and in December 2002, 73% viewed the federal government favorably.</p>
<p>Positive opinions of the government declined through the remainder of George W. Bush’s presidency and have continued to fall during the Obama administration. Currently, 28% have a favorable impression of the federal government while 65% have an unfavorable view.</p>
<p>Partisan views of the federal government have shifted depending on which party controls the White House. Currently, Democrats have a more favorable impression of the federal government than do Republicans; during the Bush administration, Republicans expressed more favorable opinions.</p>
<p>However, there has been a steep decline in the share of Democrats expressing a favorable opinion of the federal government since Obama took office, from 61% in July 2009 to 41% currently. Favorable opinions also have fallen among Republicans over this period, from 24% to 13% — the lowest ever favorable rating among members of either party.</p>
<h3>Appendix: Party of Governors and State Legislatures</h3>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">States with Republican governors:</span></p>
<p>AL, AK, AZ, FL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KS, LA, ME, MI, MS, NE, NV, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WI, WY</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">States with Democratic governors:</span><br />
AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, HI, IL, KY, MD, MA, MN, MO, MT, NH, NY, OR, VT, WA, WV</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Republican governors and Republican majorities in both state House and Senate:</span><br />
AL, AK, AZ, FL, GA, ID, IN, KS, LA, MI, MS, NC, ND, OH, OK, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WI, WY</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Democratic governors and Democratic majorities in both state House and Senate:</span><br />
CA, CO, CT, DE, HI, IL, MD, MA, MN, OR, VT, WA, WV</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Mixed party control of governorship, state House and state Senate:</span><br />
AR, IA, KY, ME, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, RI</p>
<p>Sources: National Conference of State Legislatures, National Governors Association.</p>
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		<title>GOP Seen as Principled, But Out of Touch and Too Extreme</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/26/gop-seen-as-principled-but-out-of-touch-and-too-extreme/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/26/gop-seen-as-principled-but-out-of-touch-and-too-extreme/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Feb 2013 14:58:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20050133</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview At a time when the Republican Party’s image is at a historic low, 62% of the public says the GOP is out of touch with the American people, 56% think it is not open to change and 52% say the party is too extreme. Opinions about the Democratic Party are mixed, but the party [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050136" alt="2-26-13 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-1.png" width="294" height="362" /></a>At a time when the Republican Party’s image is at a historic low, 62% of the public says the GOP is out of touch with the American people, 56% think it is not open to change and 52% say the party is too extreme.</p>
<p>Opinions about the Democratic Party are mixed, but the party is viewed more positively than the GOP in every dimension tested except one. Somewhat more say the Republican Party than the Democratic Party has strong principles (63% vs. 57%).</p>
<p>The national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted Feb. 13-18 among 1,504 adults, comes at a time when Republican leaders are debating the party’s future in the wake of Barack Obama’s reelection. The Republican Party’s image has been hit hard over the past decade. <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/section-2-views-of-congress-and-the-parties/">In January</a>, just 33% said they viewed the party favorably, among the lowest marks of the last 20 years. The GOP’s favorable rating has not been above 50% since shortly after George W. Bush’s reelection in 2004.</p>
<p>An earlier release from the survey by <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/20/section-2-views-of-obama-congress/">the Pew Research Center and USA TODAY</a> found that while both party’s congressional leaders receive negative job ratings, just 25% approve of the job performance of GOP leaders, compared with 37% approval for Democratic congressional leaders.</p>
<p>The new report finds that while the Democratic Party is viewed more positively on most traits tested, opinion is divided about whether the party is out of touch with the American people: 46% say it is, while 50% it is not. And only somewhat more say the Democratic Party is looking out for the country’s future than say that about the Republican Party (51% vs. 45%).</p>
<h3><a name="republicans-critical"></a>Republicans More Critical of Their Party</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050137" alt="2-26-13 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-2.png" width="295" height="375" /></a>Republicans are more critical of their party than Democrats are of theirs on most issues. For example, 36% of Republicans say the GOP is out of touch with the American people. Just 23% of Democrats say their party is out of touch. And while 30% of Republicans say their party is not open to change, just 10% of Democrats make the same criticism of their party.</p>
<p>However, Republicans overwhelmingly credit their party for having strong principles; 85% say the GOP has strong principles while 13% say it does not. And 80% of Republicans say their party is looking out for the country’s long-term future.</p>
<p>The GOP also gets high marks from independents and Democrats for having strong principles. Fully 62% of independents say the Republican Party has strong principles, the most positive measure for any party trait tested. Even about half of Democrats (52%) say the Republican Party has strong principles.</p>
<p>Partisan views about whether the Republican Party is too extreme are mirror images: 78% of Republicans say the GOP is not too extreme, while 19% say it is; 78% of Democrats view the Republican Party as too extreme while 19% disagree.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050138" alt="2-26-13 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-3.png" width="296" height="374" /></a>Democrats express highly positive views of their party across-the-board, while Republicans’ opinions about the Democratic Party are uniformly negative. At least 80% of Democrats evaluate their party positively on every trait except one, being out of touch with the American people. Even there, 76% of Democrats say their party is not out of touch, while just 23% say it is.</p>
<p><a name="independents"></a>Far more independents say the Democratic Party is open to change than say that about the Republican Party (54% vs. 39%). The gap is roughly the same in independents’ views about whether the parties are out of touch (65% Republican vs. 51% Democratic) and too extreme (51% vs. 40%).</p>
<p>However, independents are divided over whether the Democratic Party looks out for the country’s future: 45% say it does and 51% say it does not. Independents have similar views about whether the Republican Party looks out for the future (43% yes, 51% no).</p>
<p>About a quarter of independents (27%) say that neither party is looking out for the country’s future. An even higher percentage of independents (37%) say that both parties are out of touch with the American people.</p>
<h3><a name="party-favorable"></a>Overall Views of Parties</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050139" alt="2-26-13 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-26-13-4.png" width="411" height="353" /></a>The Republican Party’s overall image stands at one of the lowest points in nearly two decades. And, while impressions of the Democratic Party are much stronger, they are far below where they were four years ago.</p>
<p>In January, 33% of the public had a favorable view of the GOP, compared with 58% who held an unfavorable impression of the party. Among Republicans themselves, 69% had a favorable impression, down from a recent high of 89% reported after the GOP convention. Majorities of both Democrats and independents viewed the Republican Party unfavorably (83% and 58%, respectively).</p>
<p>Views of the Democratic Party were evenly divided in January: 47% favorable, 46% unfavorable. Among Democrats, 87% had a favorable impression of their party while roughly the same percentage of Republicans held an unfavorable view (84%). Independents, on balance, had more unfavorable impressions of the Democratic Party (52%) than favorable ones (37%).</p>
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		<title>Obama in Strong Position at Start of Second Term</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obama-in-strong-position-at-start-of-second-term/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obama-in-strong-position-at-start-of-second-term/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2013 15:56:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20049018</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview As he prepares for his second inauguration, Barack Obama is in a stronger position with the public than he was over much of his first term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the early months of his presidency. His personal favorability, currently 59%, has rebounded from a low of [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-1-.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049022" title="1-17-13 #1" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-1-.png" width="295" height="336" /></a>As he prepares for his second inauguration, Barack Obama is in a stronger position with the public than he was over much of his first term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the early months of his presidency. His personal favorability, currently 59%, has rebounded from a low of 50% in the fall campaign. And increasing percentages describe him as a strong leader, able to get things done and as someone who stands up for his beliefs.</p>
<p>Obama’s political advantage is enhanced by the poor standing of his Republican counterparts. The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Jan. 9-13 among 1,502 adults finds that both House Speaker John Boehner and <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049023" title="1-17-13 #2" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-2.png" width="294" height="294" /></a>Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell are viewed more unfavorably than favorably.</p>
<p>The Republican Party’s image, which reached a recent high of 42% favorable following the GOP convention this past summer, has fallen once again to a low of just 33%. Much of this decline has come among Republicans themselves. Favorable opinions of the GOP among Republicans have fallen 20 points since September (from 89% to 69%) and are now as low as at any point during the past 20 years.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049024" title="1-17-13 #3" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-3.png" width="295" height="321" /></a>While his personal image is strong, Obama’s current j0b rating is not high compared with other two-term presidents since World War II. Among presidents dating back to Harry S. Truman, only George W. Bush began his second term with a rating about as low as Obama’s (50% approval in January 2005). To a degree, this reflects the partisan polarization in opinions about both Obama and Bush; Obama’s current rating among Republicans (14% approve) is about the same as Bush’s among Democrats eight years ago (17%).</p>
<p>Among recent two-term presidents, none has had a significantly better job approval mark at the end of his presidency than at the start of his second term.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049027" title="1-17-13 #4" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-4.png" width="411" height="353" /></a>Since Obama entered the White House four years ago, his strongest ratings have typically been on his personal traits, and he has improved his standing on these measures over the past year.</p>
<p>Fully 82% say that Obama stands up for what he believes in; 75% said this a year ago. Nearly six-in-ten (57%) say Obama is able to get things done, up 11 points from a year ago, and 59% say he is a strong leader, up seven points since then.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, these personal ratings are all far lower than they were shortly after he took office four years ago. <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2009/02/09/support-for-stimulus-plan-slips-but-obama-rides-high/">A few weeks after his inauguration</a>, 70% said he was able to get things done and even higher percentages gave him positive ratings for other attributes.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049028" title="1-17-13 #5" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-5.png" width="409" height="217" /></a><a name="partisan-conflict"></a>Obama also faces a far more skeptical and frustrated public today than he did four years ago. Just 33% expect economic conditions to get better over the coming year – that figure was 43% in December 2008. And the public is pessimistic about the prospects for bipartisan cooperation in Washington. Just 23% expect Republicans and Democrats will work together more in the coming year, less than half the percentage that expressed that view in January 2009 (50%).</p>
<p>After a series of bruising political battles over the <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049029" title="1-17-13 #6" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-6.png" width="294" height="304" /></a>past few years, the public’s desire for political compromise in Washington has increased notably. In March 2011, soon after Republicans gained a majority in the House, 54% said they liked elected officials who stuck to their positions, while 40% liked politicians who made compromises with people they disagreed with. Today, 50% say they like leaders who compromise, and 44% like those who stick to their positions.</p>
<p>The percentages of Democrats and independents saying they prefer politicians who compromise has increased over the past two years. Currently, 59% of Democrats say they like elected officials who make compromises, up from 46% in March 2011. Similarly, there has been a 12-point increase in the percentage of independents expressing a preference for politicians who compromise (from 41% to 53%).</p>
<p>By contrast, Republicans’ opinions are largely unchanged from two years ago. Currently, 55% say they like elected officials who stick to their positions compared with 36% who like elected officials who make compromises. Among conservative Republicans, about twice as many prefer politicians who stick to their positions than those who compromise (60% vs. 31%).</p>
<h3>Other Important Findings</h3>
<p><strong>Christie’s Crossover Appeal.</strong> Favorable opinions of the New Jersey governor outnumber unfavorable views by two-to-one – among Democrats. He is even more highly regarded among Republicans.</p>
<p><strong>Mixed Views of Bloomberg.</strong> Impressions of New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg are more evenly divided. Notably, those who favor gun control view Bloomberg much more favorably than do supporters of gun rights.</p>
<p><strong>Obama’s Legacy – TBD.</strong> A third of Americans (33%) say that in the long run Obama will be a successful president, while 26% say he will be unsuccessful. But a plurality (39%) says it is too soon to tell. Views about Bush were similar at the start of his second term.</p>
<p><strong>Michelle’s Strong Image.</strong> While Barack Obama’s favorability rating has improved, the first lady is still more popular than her husband. Currently, 67% view Michelle Obama favorably, while just 22% have an unfavorable opinion of her.</p>
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		<title>As Fiscal Cliff Nears, Democrats Have Public Opinion on Their Side</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/13/as-fiscal-cliff-nears-democrats-have-public-opinion-on-their-side/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/13/as-fiscal-cliff-nears-democrats-have-public-opinion-on-their-side/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Dec 2012 15:47:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20047999</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview The Democrats are in a strong position with the public as they engage in negotiations to find a solution to the fiscal cliff crisis. Barack Obama’s first post-reelection job approval rating has risen to 55%, up five points since July and 11 points since the start of the year. Obama’s job rating is markedly [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>The Democrats are in a strong position with the public as they engage in negotiations to find a solution to the fiscal cliff crisis. Barack Obama’s first post-reelection job approval rating has <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048006" title="12-13-12 #1" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-1.png" width="294" height="437" /></a>risen to 55%, up five points since July and 11 points since the start of the year. Obama’s job rating is markedly higher than George W. Bush’s first job measure (48%) after he won reelection in 2004.</p>
<p>When it comes to the reaching an agreement to avoid the fiscal cliff, 55% say Obama is making a serious effort to work with Republicans. But just 32% say Republican leaders are making a serious effort to work with Obama on a deficit deal.</p>
<p>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Dec. 5-9 among 1,503 adults, finds that the current problems for the GOP run deep. Just 25% approve of the way Republican leaders in Congress are doing their jobs, while 40% approve of Democratic leaders’ job performance. And the GOP’s lead negotiator, House Speaker John Boehner, is viewed more unfavorably (40%) than favorably (28%).</p>
<p>By a 53% to 33% margin, the public sees the Republican Party, rather than the Democratic Party, as “more extreme in its positions.” Democrats, on the other hand, are seen as “more willing to work with leaders from the other party” by roughly two-to-one (53% vs. 27%).</p>
<p>Americans have long felt that deficit reduction should be achieved with a combination of spending cuts and tax increases, and as the debate intensifies, this consensus is only growing. Nearly three-quarters (74%) say the best way to reduce the deficit is by both cutting major programs and increasing taxes, up from 69% in September and just 60% in July 2011 when the debate focused on raising the debt ceiling. Just 11% say the focus should mostly be on program cuts and 7% say the focus should be mostly on tax increases.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048007" title="12-13-12 #2" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-2.png" width="294" height="515" /></a>However, while the public endorses a balanced approach to deficit reduction, majorities continue to oppose making cuts in federal funding for several specific programs, including education (77% disapprove), roads and transportation (67%), programs to aid low-income Americans (58%) and military defense (55%). And majorities also disapprove of gradually raising the retirement age for Medicare and Social Security (56% each).</p>
<p>In fact, the only deficit reduction proposals that garner more support than opposition – among 12 items tested – are those that affect higher income Americans, either directly or indirectly. Of the 12, by far the most widely supported option is raising taxes on incomes over $250,000; fully 69% approve of that proposal. Narrow majorities also favor limiting the deductions a taxpayer can claim (54% approve) and raising the tax rate on investment income (52%).</p>
<p>There is more support for an overall cap on tax deductions than for a limit on the tax deduction for home mortgage interest: opinion runs against limiting the mortgage deduction (41% approve, 52% disapprove), but in favor of a more general deduction limit as some have proposed (54% approve, 40% disapprove).</p>
<p>While the nation’s budget deficit may be the focus in Washington, the public continues to view the job situation as the most worrisome national economic issue. Four-in-ten (40%) say the job situation is the top economic worry, while 25% say the federal budget deficit. These views have changed little since March.</p>
<p>Although the public expresses doubts about the Republican Party’s leadership and approach to the current discussion, the GOP still engenders about as much confidence as the Democrats on the public’s top two economic worries – jobs and the deficit. But <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048008" title="12-13-12 #3" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-3.png" width="294" height="263" /></a>Democrats hold significant leads on all other domestic issues tested, including education, energy, health care and Social Security, as well as being seen as the party better able to manage the federal government by a 45% to 36% margin.</p>
<p>And there has been no improvement in the Republican Party’s image over the past year. The job approval rating of Republican congressional leaders, which fell to just 22% in August of 2011 after the debt ceiling debate, stands virtually unchanged at 25% today. Meanwhile, the job rating for both Democratic leaders in Congress (now 40% up from 29% in August 2011) and Obama (55% up from 43%) have rebounded by double-digits.</p>
<p>The recovery in Obama’s job approval ratings is particularly notable; other than a brief spike following the killing of Osama bin Laden, Obama’s approval has not been significantly above 50% since September of his first year in office.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048009" title="12-13-12 #4" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-4.png" width="296" height="322" /></a>And this corresponds with a less sour assessment of the economy. While few say the economy is in good shape, the number describing economic conditions as poor stands at 35%, the lowest since January 2008. And while only 22% believe that plenty of jobs are available, that is up from 10% in early 2010, and the highest since 2008. However, while current conditions appear slightly better, expectations for the future have taken a turn for the worse. The share who think economic conditions will be worse a year from now has risen to 25%, a four year high.</p>
<p>Partisanship is a factor in the changing views of the economy, particularly the public’s less positive economic outlook. Republicans, who no doubt were stung by Obama’s victory last month and are deeply pessimistic about progress toward a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff, have an increasingly negative economic outlook.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048010" title="12-13-12 #5" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-5.png" width="294" height="324" /></a>Nearly half of Republicans (47%) say the economy will be worse a year from now than it is today. In January, just 19% expected national conditions to worsen. Economic expectations among Democrats and independents are little changed from the start of this year.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/04/pessimism-about-fiscal-cliff-deal-republicans-still-get-more-blame/">A Pew Research Center/Washington Post poll last week</a> found that 69% of Republicans said Obama and congressional Republicans will not reach a budget agreement by the Jan.1 deadline. By contrast, most Democrats (55%) predicted that the two sides would be able to reach an agreement in time.</p>
<p>Republicans’ deepening gloom – about the economy and the fiscal cliff – appears to have colored their overall expectations for the coming year. Fully 69% say 2013 will be worse than 2012; that compares with just 9% of Democrats and 38% of independents. Last January, just 37% of Republicans said the year ahead would be worse than the year that had just passed.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-61.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20048070" title="12-13-12 #6" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/12/12-13-12-61.png" width="410" height="314" /></a><a name="meanwhile"></a>Meanwhile, there has been an across the board rise in the number saying that the country is more politically divided than it was in the past. Currently, 80% view the country as more politically divided – the highest percentage ever in a Pew Research Center survey. Nearly identical percentages of Democrats (82%), Republicans (81%) and independents (80%) say the country is more politically divided.</p>
<p>And 60% now say the people they know also are more politically divided. That is higher than the percentages saying this shortly after Obama first won the presidency (47% in January 2009) and Bush won his second term (53% in December 2004). In the current survey, majorities of Republicans (67%), independents (60%) and Democrats (58%) say the people they know are more divided over politics than in the past.</p>
<h3>Other Findings</h3>
<p><strong>Military’s Ratings Still Strong.</strong> Favorable ratings for the military – and military leaders – remain strong despite the recent scandal involving former Gen. David Petraeus. More than eight-in-ten (83%) express a favorable opinion of the military while 71% have a favorable view of military leaders. Both measures are little changed from past years.</p>
<p><strong>Views of Supreme Court Still Divided.</strong> The partisan differences in opinions about the Supreme Court that emerged after its ruling on the 2010 health care law remain evident. About six-in-ten Democrats (62%) have a favorable opinion of the court, compared with 44% of Republicans. In April, before its July ruling upholding most of the law, there were no significant differences in views of the court.</p>
<p><strong>Mixed Awareness of Fiscal Cliff.</strong> A majority (57%) knows that the fiscal cliff involves automatic spending cuts and tax increases and 70% know that nearly all taxpayers – not just those with high incomes – would be affected. But just 38% know that if the spending cuts go into effect, the military would be most affected.</p>
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		<title>Examining the Last Four Years</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/24/examining-the-last-four-years/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/24/examining-the-last-four-years/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Oct 2012 20:13:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<title>Democrats Now More Positive on Campaign 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/12/democrats-now-more-positive-on-campaign-2012/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2012 18:34:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20046065</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview In the wake of the party conventions, Democrats express increasingly positive views of the presidential campaign. And today, substantially more Democrats than Republicans view the campaign as interesting and informative. The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &#38; the Press, conducted Sept. 7-9 among 1,012 adults, finds that 66% [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046069" title="9-12-12 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-1.png" alt="" width="295" height="428" /></a>In the wake of the party conventions, Democrats express increasingly positive views of the presidential campaign. And today, substantially more Democrats than Republicans view the campaign as interesting and informative.</p>
<p>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Sept. 7-9 among 1,012 adults, finds that 66% of Democrats say the presidential campaign is interesting while just 27% say it is dull. Among Republicans 50% say it is interesting while nearly as many (45%) describe it as dull. The gap is about as wide in opinions about whether the presidential campaign is informative – 68% of Democrats say it is informative, compared with 49% of Republicans.</p>
<p>In September 2008, nearly identical percentages of Republicans (75%) and Democrats (74%) said the campaign was interesting. And similar majorities of both groups viewed the campaign as informative (62% of Republicans and 59% of Democrats).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046070" title="9-12-12 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-2.png" alt="" width="295" height="459" /></a>Republicans also are more likely than Democrats to say the current campaign is too negative. More than six-in-ten Republicans (63%) say it is too negative; just 42% of Democrats express this view. In September 2008, 41% of Republicans and 45% of Democrats said the campaign was too negative.</p>
<p>Most Republicans (62%) say the presidential campaign is too long, compared with 43% of Democrats. In 2008, 63% of Republicans and 49% of Democrats said the campaign was too long.</p>
<p>Among the public as a whole, fewer people say the campaign is interesting than did so at about the same point in the 2008 race (53% now, 68% then). About as many say the campaign is informative as did so in September 2008. More people say the campaign is too negative than four years ago, while somewhat fewer say it is too long.</p>
<h3>How Opinions Have Changed This Year</h3>
<p>Over the course of the current campaign, views of the race have changed substantially. Far more people find the campaign interesting and informative than did so in June or March.</p>
<p>But virtually all of the increase in positive campaign evaluations has come among Democrats and independents. Republicans currently express about the same opinions about the campaign as they did in March, during the GOP primaries, with one exception: More Republicans now say the campaign is too negative than did so then.</p>
<p>Republicans are now more likely to say the campaign is interesting and informative than in June, after the primaries ended. Nonetheless, about the same number of Republicans say the campaign is interesting (50%) and informative (49%) as did so in March (52% and 47%, <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046071" title="9-12-12 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-3.png" alt="" width="294" height="396" /></a>respectively).</p>
<p>Over the same period, Democrats’ views of the 2012 campaign have improved dramatically. About two-thirds of Democrats say the presidential campaign is interesting (66%) and informative (68%). In March, just 36% of Democrats called the campaign interesting and 44% called it informative.</p>
<p>Notably, an increasing percentage of independents also finds the campaign interesting. Currently, 45% of independents say it is interesting, up from 31% in March and 27% in June.</p>
<p>Most Republicans think the campaign is too negative (63%) and too long (62%). Far fewer Democrats say the campaign is too negative (42%) or too long (43%). In March, about as many Democrats (54%) as Republicans (51%) said the campaign was too negative and there was a more modest gap in the percentages calling the campaign too long (64% of Republicans, 53% of Democrats).</p>
<h3>No Spike in Campaign Interest after Conventions</h3>
<p>Following the Republican and Democratic conventions, there has been no increase in interest in news about the election. Overall, 31% say they have been following news about candidates for the 2012 presidential election very closely. Interest was about as high in the week before the Republican convention. In a survey conducted August 23-26, 27% said they <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046072" title="9-12-12 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-4.png" alt="" width="294" height="212" /></a>were following news about the presidential election very closely.</p>
<p>Republicans and Democrats are about equally likely to have been following election news. In the current survey, 40% of Democrats and 37% of Republicans say they followed news about candidates for the 2012 presidential election very closely; somewhat fewer independents (25%) say the same.</p>
<p>In 2008, when, like this year, the party conventions were held in consecutive weeks, interest in campaign news rose after the conventions. In 2004, when the conventions were about a month apart, there also was increased news interest after the pair of conventions. In 2000 and 1996, there was no bounce in interest following the party conventions.</p>
<h3>Recent Weeks’ News</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046077" title="9-12-12 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-12-12-5.png" alt="" width="294" height="261" /></a>The economy was the public’s top story last week, outpacing interest in the election and news about events in Afghanistan. Overall, 36% say they followed news about the condition of the U.S. economy very closely compared with 31% who very closely followed election news and 18% who followed the current situation and events in Afghanistan.</p>
<p>A week prior, public interest was divided among the economy, Hurricane Isaac and the election. A third (33%) said the followed news about the economy very closely, 31% followed news about Hurricane Isaac very closely and 29% followed news about the candidates for the 2012 presidential election very closely.</p>
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		<title>Democratic Convention Highlights: Clinton Outshines Obama</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/10/democratic-convention-highlights-clinton-outshines-obama/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Sep 2012 19:38:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20046008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview Like Mitt Romney, Barack Obama was not the highlight of his party’s convention. Among those who watched at least a little coverage of the Democratic convention, 29% say the highlight was Bill Clinton’s speech, while 16% name Obama’s speech as the highlight. About as many (15%) say that first lady Michelle Obama’s speech was [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>Like Mitt Romney, Barack Obama was not the highlight of his party’s convention. Among those who watched at least a little coverage of the Democratic convention, 29% say the highlight <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046010" title="9-10-12 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-1.png" alt="" width="188" height="363" /></a>was Bill Clinton’s speech, while 16% name Obama’s speech as the highlight. About as many (15%) say that first lady Michelle Obama’s speech was the highlight of the convention.</p>
<p>The latest survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Sept. 7-9, 2012 among 1,012 adults nationwide, finds that while Obama’s speech was not the highlight of the convention, it is evaluated more positively than Romney’s convention address. Six-in-ten (60%) of those who watched at least a little convention coverage rate Obama’s speech as excellent or good; that compares with 53% of GOP convention watchers who rated Romney’s speech positively.</p>
<p>However, Obama’s speech was not viewed nearly as positively as his address at the convention four years ago: 73% said that speech was excellent or good. In 2008, 42% of convention watchers rated Obama’s speech as excellent, compared with 29% who rate it that highly today.</p>
<p>While Obama’s speech was overshadowed by Clinton’s, Romney shared the spotlight with actor Clint Eastwood. About as many said Eastwood’s speech was the highlight of the GOP convention as mentioned Romney’s speech. (For more, see <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/05/rnc-highlights-romney-shares-top-billing-with-eastwood/">“RNC Highlights: Romney Shares Top Billing with Eastwood,”</a> Sept. 5, 2012.)</p>
<h3>Views of Obama: Before and After</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046011" title="9-10-12 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-2.png" alt="" width="295" height="379" /></a>Overall views of Obama, like opinions about Romney, have improved modestly in the wake of his party’s convention. In the new survey, 26% say their opinion of Obama has become more favorable in the past few days, while 20% say their opinion has become less favorable. Nearly half (48%) say their view of Obama has not changed.</p>
<p>In a survey conducted in late August, prior to the Charlotte convention, 16% said their opinion of Obama had become more favorable recently while 22% said it had become less favorable; 56% said it had not changed.</p>
<p>Recent opinions of Romney showed a similar positive shift after the GOP convention: The percentage saying they had come to have a more favorable view of Romney increased by seven points, from 18% before the Republican convention to 25% after it.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046012" title="9-10-12 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-3.png" alt="" width="295" height="400" /></a>Overall, more Americans say they watched all or most of the Democratic convention than the Republican convention (22% vs. 17%); A third (33%) say they watched none of the coverage of the Democratic convention, compared with 40% who watched none of the coverage of the GOP convention.</p>
<p>Interest in this year’s Democratic convention is on par with interest in the party’s convention four years ago. In the 2008 post-convention survey, 22% said they watched all or most of the convention, the same percentage as in the current survey.</p>
<p>Among those who watched at least a little of the convention coverage, 60% rated Obama’s speech as excellent (29%) or good (31%), compared with 53% who viewed Romney’s speech as either excellent (21%) or good (32%).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046013" title="9-10-12 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-4.png" alt="" width="295" height="310" /></a>Women, younger people and independents viewed Obama’s acceptance more positively than Romney’s. Among women who watched at least a little convention coverage, 62% said Obama’s speech was excellent or good, while 50% said the same about Romney’s speech. Fully 63% of those younger than 50 rated Obama’s speech positively, compared with 43% who said Romney’s speech was excellent or good.</p>
<p>And while partisans overwhelmingly view the speech of their nominee positively, more independents expressed positive opinions about Obama’s speech than Romney’s (57% vs. 46%).</p>
<h3>Obama Overshadowed</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20046014" title="9-10-12 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/09/9-10-12-5.png" alt="" width="410" height="348" /></a>Four years ago, Obama’s speech was the <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2008/09/03/after-busy-week-views-of-both-candidates-improve/">clear highlight of the Democratic party convention</a>. Nearly four-in-ten (38%) of those who watched at least a little convention coverage said his speech was the highlight; Hillary Clinton’s speech was a distant second at 16%.</p>
<p>This year, however, Obama’s speech was overshadowed by Bill Clinton’s address: 29% say Clinton’s speech was the highlight, nearly twice the percentage citing Obama’s speech (16%).</p>
<p>More Democrats mentioned Clinton’s speech as the highlight than cited Obama’s address (36% vs. 24%). Independents also are more likely to say that Clinton’s speech was the convention highlight (29% vs. 15%).</p>
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		<title>More Interest in GOP Platform than Romney&#8217;s Speech</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/08/27/more-interest-in-gop-platform-than-romneys-speech/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Aug 2012 18:01:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20045787</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview As the Republican convention gets underway, more Americans express interest in learning about what’s in the GOP platform than in the speeches by either Mitt Romney or his running mate. About half of the public (52%) is interested in learning about the Republican Party’s platform, while 44% are interested in Romney’s acceptance speech and [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045794" title="8-27-12 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-1.png" alt="" width="405" height="341" /></a>As the Republican convention gets underway, more Americans express interest in learning about what’s in the GOP platform than in the speeches by either Mitt Romney or his running mate. About half of the public (52%) is interested in learning about the Republican Party’s platform, while 44% are interested in Romney’s acceptance speech and about the same percentage (46%) in Ryan’s convention speech.</p>
<p>The latest survey by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, conducted August 23-26, 2012 among 1,010 <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045795" title="8-27-12 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-2.png" alt="" width="405" height="298" /></a>adults nationwide, finds overall interest in the Republican convention is comparable to the past two GOP conventions. More than four-in-ten (44%) say they are very or fairly interested in following what happens in Tampa over the next three days, compared with 48% on the eve of the 2008 GOP convention, and 46% in 2004.</p>
<p>This is almost identical to the level of public interest in next week’s Democratic convention in Charlotte; 43% say they are interested in what happens at that convention. This is down significantly from the notably high interest in the Democratic convention four years ago, when 59% were very or fairly interested. In terms of advance interest in events at the Democratic convention, 55% say they are interested in learning about the Democratic platform, while nearly as many express interest in Barack Obama’s acceptance speech (51%) and Bill Clinton’s convention speech (52%).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045791" title="8-27-12 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-3.png" alt="" width="290" height="283" /></a>There is substantially less advance interest in Mitt Romney’s acceptance speech this Thursday than there was in John McCain’s acceptance speech in 2008 or George W. Bush’s in 2000. Just over half of Americans said they were interested in watching those speeches (52% in 2008, 53% in 2000). That compares to 44% this year.</p>
<p>Republican interest in Romney’s acceptance speech is as high as for McCain’s speech four years ago, or for Bush’s in 2000. However, Democrats are far less interested in hearing the Republican nominee’s speech this year than in the past, and independents’ interest is down as well.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045792" title="8-27-12 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-4.png" alt="" width="290" height="326" /></a>Each party’s base expresses similar levels of interest in following their party’s conventions; 70% of Republicans and 66% of Democrats say they are very or fairly interested in following their own party’s convention. Democrats are somewhat more interested in following the GOP convention (41%) than are Republicans in the Democratic convention (28%). Among independents, majorities are not interested in the Republican (63%) or the Democratic convention (64%).</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>August News Interest</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045793" title="8-27-12 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-5.png" alt="" width="290" height="439" /></a>News about the economy continues to top the public’s news agenda. In the current survey, 38% say they are following reports about the condition of the U.S. economy very closely, compared with 27% who say they are following election news very closely.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045788" title="8-27-12 #6" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-6.png" alt="" width="290" height="334" /></a>The controversial comments about rape and abortion made by Missouri Senate candidate Todd Akin drew limited public attention. One-in-four (25%) followed this story very closely, but another one-in-three (33%) say they did not follow this closely at all. Interest in the Akin controversy was most widespread among Democrats, 34% of whom followed this very closely, compared with 25% of Republicans and just 19% of independents. There was no significant gender gap in the amount of attention given to Rep. Akin’s comments. A quarter of women and men (25% each followed the story very closely.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-7.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045789" title="8-27-12 #7" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-27-12-7.png" alt="" width="290" height="341" /></a>For the month of August, public interest in the 2012 campaign is on par with the summer of 2008. On average, over the past four weeks 29% of Americans say they have followed news about the presidential candidates very closely; 28% said the same in August of 2008. This is the fifth consecutive month in which 2012 campaign interest has been equal to interest in the 2008 campaign cycle.</p>
<p>In previous elections, public attention to campaign news has spiked in September, following the final party conventions. In 2008, the share following the election very closely jumped from 28% in August to 47% in September.</p>
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		<title>A Closer Look at the Parties in 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/08/23/a-closer-look-at-the-parties-in-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/08/23/a-closer-look-at-the-parties-in-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Aug 2012 14:49:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20045706</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As the 2012 party conventions approach, the Democratic Party continues to maintain an advantage in party identification among voters, but its lead is much smaller than it was in 2008. In more than 13,000 interviews conducted so far in 2012, 35% of registered voters identify with the Democratic Party, 28% with the Republican Party and [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045709" title="8-23-12 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-1.png" alt="" width="294" height="655" /></a>As the 2012 party conventions approach, the Democratic Party continues to maintain an advantage in party identification among voters, but its lead is much smaller than it was in 2008.</p>
<p>In more than 13,000 interviews conducted so far in 2012, 35% of registered voters identify with the Democratic Party, 28% with the Republican Party and 33% as independents. The share of Democrats has fallen three points since 2008, while the proportion of Republicans has remained steady.</p>
<p>When the leanings of independent voters are taken into account, the closing of the Democratic advantage is even more noticeable. Currently, independents lean slightly more toward the Republican Party than the Democratic Party (15% vs. 13%). Four years ago, the reverse was true (13% leaned Democratic, 11% Republican).</p>
<p>Overall, the Democrats now have a five-point lead in party affiliation among registered voters when independents who lean to either party are included (48% to 43%). That is down from a 12-point advantage in 2008 (51% to 39%). The current Democratic edge in leaned party identification is comparable to the slim leads they held in 2004 (three points) and 2000 (four points).</p>
<p><em>For a detailed analysis of recent trends in party identification, the composition of the parties and the opinions and values of Republicans and Democrats, <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-detailed_tables/Detailed%20tables%20for%20Party%20ID.pdf">see the accompanying tables</a>.</em></p>
<h3>White Voters Turn Toward GOP</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045710" title="8-23-12 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-2.png" alt="" width="294" height="319" /></a>Over the past four years, the shift in party identification has occurred almost entirely among white voters. The Republican Party now has a 12-point advantage over Democrats among non-Hispanic white voters: 52% identify with or lean toward the Republican Party while 40% identify with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic. In 2008, the balance of party identification among whites was almost evenly divided (46% Republican vs. 44% Democrat). The Democratic Party’s advantage among blacks and Hispanics, by comparison, has remained largely unchanged.</p>
<p>The Republican Party’s current lead among white voters is not unprecedented – their advantage is on par with the GOP’s lead among whites from 2002-2004 and from 1994-1995. And all of the GOP gain among whites over the past four years is in leaning among independents. In other words, whites are no more likely to call themselves Republicans today than in 2008 (34% in both years), but they are more likely to lean Republican (17% today, up from 12% in 2008).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045711" title="8-23-12 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-3.png" alt="" width="410" height="481" /></a>The Republican Party’s gains among whites cross many demographic subgroups. The GOP lead among white men has doubled from 11 points in 2008 (51% Republican or lean Republican vs. 40% Democrat/lean Democratic) to 22 points (57% vs. 35%). And white women, who leaned Democratic by a 49% to 42% margin in 2008, now tilt slightly toward the GOP by a 47% to 44% margin. The two parties now run even among white voters younger than 30, while Republicans have the advantage among all other age groups.</p>
<p>Lower-income and less educated whites also have shifted substantially toward the Republican Party since 2008. The GOP has largely erased the wide lead Democrats had among white voters with family incomes less than $30,000. And middle-income whites ($30,000-$74,999), who were split between the parties four years ago, now favor the GOP by 17 points. By contrast, there has been no shift among higher income whites, who favor the GOP by roughly the same margin today as in 2008.</p>
<p>Similarly, whites without a college degree now tilt decidedly toward the Republican Party – the GOP now holds a 54% to 37% advantage among non-college whites, who were split about evenly four years ago. The partisanship of white college graduates, by contrast, has not changed.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045712" title="8-23-12 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-4.png" alt="" width="412" height="567" /></a>The Democratic Party continues to have a wide lead in party identification among Millennials, voters born after 1980. Currently 55% of Millennials identify with or lean to the Democratic Party, compared with 36% who identify or lean to the Republican Party. However, the Democrats’ advantage among Millennial voters has declined from 32 points in 2008 to 19 points today.</p>
<p>The balance of party identification is more evenly divided among other generations. Republicans have a four-point advantage among voters in the Silent Generation, while Democrats have an equivalent lead among Baby Boomers. Generation X is evenly divided (47% Democrat vs. 45% Republican).</p>
<h3>GOP Voters: Overwhelmingly White, Mostly Male</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20045713" title="8-23-12 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-23-12-5.png" alt="" width="294" height="731" /></a>The demographic differences between the Republican and Democratic voters are reflected in current profiles of the two parties’ bases. In surveys conducted in 2012, nearly nine-in-ten (87%) Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters are white, while just 11% are minorities. In contrast, 61% of Democrats are white, while nearly four-in-ten are African American (21%), Hispanic (10%) or another race (7%).</p>
<p>Men make up a majority (52%) of Republican Republican-leaning voters; among Democratic voters, 43% are men while 57% are women. Republican and Republican-leaning voters also are far more likely than Democratic voters to be married (65% of Republicans vs. 49% of Democrats).</p>
<p><em><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-detailed_tables/Detailed%20tables%20for%20Party%20ID.pdf">Click here to see detailed tables</a> showing trends in party affiliation, the demographic composition of the parties, and the opinions and values of Republicans and Democrats.</em></p>
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