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11.07.12

A Comparison of Results from Surveys by the Pew Research Center and Google Consumer Surveys

As internet use grows– whether through a traditional computer, tablet, gaming device or cell phone – new techniques are being developed to conduct social research and measure people’s behavior and opinion while they are online. The Pew Research Center has been exploring these new techniques for measuring public opinion and critically evaluating how they compare [...]

08.03.12

Party Affiliation and Election Polls

In every campaign cycle, pollwatchers pay close attention to the details of every election survey. And well they should. But focusing on the partisan balance of surveys is, in almost every circumstance, the wrong place to look. The latest Pew Research Center survey conducted July 16-26 among 1,956 registered voters nationwide found 51% supporting Barack [...]

05.15.12

Assessing the Representativeness of Public Opinion Surveys

For decades survey research has provided trusted data about political attitudes and voting behavior, the economy, health, education, demography and many other topics. But political and media surveys are facing significant challenges as a consequence of societal and technological changes. It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to [...]

11.22.10

The Growing Gap between Landline and Dual Frame Election Polls

11.22.10

The Growing Gap between Landline and Dual Frame Election Polls; Republican Vote Share Bigger in Landline-Only Surveys

A new analysis of Pew Research Center pre-election surveys conducted this year finds that support for Republican candidates was significantly higher in samples based only on landlines than in dual frame samples that combined landline and cell phone interviews. The difference in the margin among likely voters this year is about twice as large as in 2008.

10.13.10

Cell Phones and Election Polls: An Update

05.20.10

Assessing the Cell Phone Challenge

10.14.09

But What Do the Polls Show?

07.09.09

Accurately Locating Where Wireless Respondents Live Requires More Than A Phone Number

06.25.09

Perils of Polling in Election ’08

03.03.09

New Tricks for Old — and New — Dogs: Challenges and Opportunities Facing Communications Research

01.22.09

Understanding Likely Voters

12.18.08

Calling Cell Phones In ’08 Pre-Election Polls

12.18.08

Bush and Public Opinion

Overview: Bush and Public Opinion As George W. Bush prepares to leave the White House, the United States is in many ways dramatically different from when he took the oath of office in 2001. His first few months as president were largely unremarkable, despite the contentious 2000 election. But the horrific terror attacks of Sept. [...]

12.16.08

What a Year! People-Press Poll Reports in 2008

10.17.08

Poll Power

09.23.08

Cell Phones and the 2008 Vote: An Update

07.17.08

Cell Phones and the 2008 Vote: An Update

05.22.08

Research Roundup: Latest Findings on Cell Phones and Polling

03.20.08

A ‘Brute Force’ Estimation of the Residence Rate for Undetermined Telephone Numbers in an RDD Survey

01.31.08

The Impact Of “Cell-Onlys” On Public Opinion Polling

Summary of Findings The proportion of Americans who rely solely on a cell phone for their telephone service continues to grow, as does the share who still have a landline phone but do most of their calling on their cell phone. With these changes, there is an increased concern that polls conducted only on landline [...]

01.10.08

Getting It Wrong

The failure of the New Hampshire pre-election surveys to mirror the outcome of the Democratic race is one of the most significant miscues in modern polling history. All the published polls, including those that surveyed through Monday, had Sen. Barack Obama comfortably ahead with an average margin of more than 8 percent. These same polls [...]

07.02.07

“Frequently Asked Questions” about Pew’s Muslim American Survey

06.20.07

How Serious Is Polling’s Cell-Only Problem?

According to government statistics released last month, nearly 13% of U.S. households cannot now be reached by the typical telephone survey because they have only a cell phone and no landline telephone, and the share of Americans who are cell-only is increasing rapidly. To monitor this problem, the Pew Research Center conducted four studies in [...]

06.20.07

What’s Missing from National RDD Surveys? The Impact of the Growing Cell-Only Population

06.20.07

What’s Missing from National RDD Surveys? The Impact of the Growing Cell-Only Population

10.26.06

Cell-Only Voters Not Very Different

10.26.06

Cell-Only Voters Not Very Different: Fewer Registered, More First-time Voters

10.26.06

Are National Polls Reliable Predictors of Midterm Elections?

05.15.06

The Cell Phone Challenge to Survey Research

Summary of Findings A growing number of Americans rely solely on a cell phone for their telephone service, and many more are considering giving up their landline phones. This trend presents a challenge to public opinion polling, which typically relies on a random sample of the population of landline subscribers. A new study of the [...]

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