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	<title>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press &#187; Presidential Approval</title>
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		<title>Obama Maintains Approval Advantage, but GOP Runs Even on Key Issues</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/05/08/obama-maintains-approval-advantage-but-gop-runs-even-on-key-issues/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/05/08/obama-maintains-approval-advantage-but-gop-runs-even-on-key-issues/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 15:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20051189</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview President Obama continues to hold a substantial advantage over congressional Republicans in public regard. Obama’s job approval is back in positive territory at 51%, after slipping to 47% in March. By comparison, just 22% approve of the job Republican leaders in Congress are doing, among the lowest approval rating for congressional leaders from either [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>President Obama continues to hold a substantial advantage over congressional Republicans in public regard. Obama’s job approval is back in positive territory at 51%, after slipping to <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051192" alt="5-8-13 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-1.png" width="411" height="342" /></a>47% in March. By comparison, just 22% approve of the job Republican leaders in Congress are doing, among the lowest approval rating for congressional leaders from either party in 20 years.</p>
<p>Furthermore, a record-high 80% say Obama and Republican leaders are not working together to address important issues facing the country, and by nearly two-to-one (42%-22%) more blame Republican leaders than Obama for the gridlock.</p>
<p>Despite GOP leaders’ poor job ratings, the Republican Party runs about even with the Democrats on leading issues such as the economy, immigration and gun control. Overall, 42% say the Republican Party could do the better job dealing with the economy, while 38% say the Democratic Party. The public is similarly divided over which party could better handle gun control policy and immigration policy.</p>
<p>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted May 1-5 among 1,504 adults, finds that Republicans have particularly low regard for their party’s congressional leaders. Just 42% approve of the job GOP leaders in Congress are doing, while 51% disapprove. This is far below the job ratings that Democrats give their party’s leaders (60% approve, 32% disapprove).</p>
<p>Despite their frustration with the party’s leadership, Republicans overwhelmingly say the GOP could do a better job than the Democratic Party when it comes to issues like the economy, immigration and gun control. By comparison, fewer Democrats side with their party on the economy and gun control, which is one reason why Republicans run even with the Democrats overall. On each of these three issues, independents are split as to whether the Republican Party or the Democratic Party could do better.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051193" alt="5-8-13 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-2.png" width="296" height="325" /></a>As Obama works toward advancing his second-term agenda, the public is divided over whether he is someone who is <em>able to get things done</em> (49%) or not (46%). Views of Obama’s effectiveness have declined since shortly after his re-election, when more saw him as effective (57%) than did not (37%).</p>
<p>While the public offers mixed views of Obama’s effectiveness in a gridlocked political environment, most say he <em>fights hard to get his policies passed</em> (67%) and 76% describe him as someone who <em>stands up for what he believes in</em>. Both impressions hold with majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents. Views of his leadership and effectiveness, by contrast, are highly polarized.</p>
<h3>Views of Obama, Congressional Leaders</h3>
<p>At 51%, Barack Obama’s overall job approval rating has edged back up from a recent low of 47% in mid-March. But it still trails his 55% <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051194" alt="5-8-13 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-3.png" width="294" height="310" /></a>approval rating in early December, a month after his re-election victory.</p>
<p>Ratings of Republican leaders in Congress remain near all-time lows. By about three-to-one, more disapprove (68%) than approve (22%) of the job GOP leaders in Congress are doing. Republican leaders’ job approval has changed little since December of last year (25%).</p>
<p>Democratic leaders are viewed only somewhat more positively. Overall, 32% approve of the job Democratic leaders in Congress are doing, while 59% disapprove. In December, 40% approved of the job performance of Democratic leaders.</p>
<p>Republicans express mixed views of the job performance of their party’s congressional leaders: 42% approve, while 51% disapprove. By contrast, almost twice as many Democrats approve as disapprove of the job of Democratic congressional leaders (60% vs. 32%).</p>
<p>Independents continue to take a dim view of the job performance of both parties’ congressional leaders: Just 23% approve of Democratic leaders’ job performance while 18% give GOP leaders a positive job rating.</p>
<h3>Parties Run Even on Key Issues</h3>
<p>The Republican Party runs about even with the Democratic Party on three key issues: the economy, immigration and gun control. In recent years, neither political party has held a decisive advantage on these issues. The Democratic Party led on the economy through much of George W. Bush’s second term and Obama’s first year in office. But since 2010, about as <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051195" alt="5-8-13 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-4.png" width="294" height="374" /></a>many have favored the GOP as the Democrats.</p>
<p>Similarly, neither party has had a consistent advantage on dealing with immigration. The current survey finds opinion split evenly; Democrats held a slim advantage in late 2012, while Republicans held a slight edge in 2011.</p>
<p>And while the gun debate has drawn significant public attention over the past four months (see: <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/04/08/gun-debate-draws-more-interest-than-immigration-policy-debate/">Gun Debate Draws More Interest than Immigration Policy Debate</a>, released April 8, 2013), it has not resulted in an advantage for either political party. In the immediate wake of the shootings in Newtown, Conn., Americans were divided over which party could better address gun control, and that divide persists today.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051196" alt="5-8-13 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-5.png" width="294" height="414" /></a>Independents are split over which party can do the better job on key issues. Overall, 38% of independents say the Republican Party could do the better job on the economy while nearly as many (35%) say the Democratic Party. Similarly, independents are divided over who can better address immigration (36% say each party) and gun control (41% Republican Party, 35% Democratic Party). On all three issues, about a quarter of independents volunteer no preference between the two parties.</p>
<p>Eight-in-ten Republicans (79%) say the GOP could do the better job dealing with the economy, while just 9% say the Democratic Party. Fewer Democrats (65%) say their party could do better on the economy, while 22% say the GOP could do better.</p>
<p>Similarly, while 76% of Republicans say the Republican Party better reflects their views on gun control, 66% of Democrats choose the Democratic Party. On dealing with immigration, 69% of Republicans prefer the GOP while about as many Democrats (63%) say the Democratic Party could do better.</p>
<h3>Eight-in-Ten Say Obama, GOP Leaders Not Working Together</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051197" alt="5-8-13 #6" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-6.png" width="411" height="296" /></a>The percentage saying that Obama and Republican leaders are not working together has risen steadily during Obama’s presidency. Currently, 80% say the two sides are not working together, up from 65% in February 2011 (shortly after Republicans won control of the House) and just 45% in early 2009.</p>
<p>By nearly two-to-one, those who see a lack of cooperation are more likely to blame Republican leaders in Congress (42%) than Obama (22%) for the gridlock. The percentage blaming <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-7.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051198" alt="5-8-13 #7" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-7.png" width="295" height="283" /></a>Republicans is up 11 points since February 2011, while the percentage blaming Obama is little changed over that time period.</p>
<p>Republicans and Democrats are about equally likely to say that GOP leaders and Obama are not cooperating, but Republicans are more likely to say their own party is at least partly to blame for gridlock than are Democrats.</p>
<p>Overall, 53% of Republicans blame Obama for the lack of cooperation in Washington. However, 28% say either that GOP leaders (12%) or both Republican leaders and Obama (17%) are to blame for not working together on important issues.</p>
<p>Democrats are less likely to see any blame on their side of the aisle. Seven-in-ten (70%) blame GOP leaders for the gridlock in Washington, while just 7% say either that Obama is most to blame (4%) or volunteer that both parties are to blame (3%).</p>
<p>Independents are much more likely to say that Republican leaders are to blame for the lack of cooperation in Washington (39%) than Obama (20%); 17% volunteer that both are to blame.</p>
<h3><a name="fight-hard"></a>Majorities Say Obama Stands up for Beliefs, Fights for Policies</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-8.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051199" alt="5-8-13 #8" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-8.png" width="412" height="330" /></a>Following the failure of gun control legislation backed by the Obama administration, most continue to say that Obama stands up for what he believes in (76%) and that he fights hard to get his policies passed (67%). Most also say that Obama is a strong leader (56%); 40% say he is not a strong leader.</p>
<p>However, the percentage saying that Obama is able to get things done has edged down since shortly after Obama’s second inauguration. In the current survey, about as many say Obama is able to get things done (49%) as not able to get things done (46%). In January, Obama was viewed as able to get things done by a 57%-37% margin.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-9.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051200" alt="5-8-13 #9" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-9.png" width="410" height="288" /></a>Majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents agree that Obama stands up for what he believes in and fights hard to get his policies passed. There is far less partisan agreement over Obama’s leadership ability and effectiveness.</p>
<p>Just 18% of Republicans view Obama as a strong leader and an identical percentage say he is able to get things done. Fully 86% of Democrats say Obama is a strong leader and 74% say he is able to get things done.</p>
<p>By a 56%-41% margin, more independents say Obama is a strong leader than not. However, independents are divided over whether Obama is able to get things done (46%) or not (49%).</p>
<h3>Views of Obama Similar to Bush at Comparable Point</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-10.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051201" alt="5-8-13 #10" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-10.png" width="294" height="322" /></a>Impressions of Obama’s leadership and effectiveness are similar to those of George W. Bush at comparable points in their presidencies.</p>
<p>Currently, 56% say Obama is a strong leader, while 41% say he is not a strong leader. Public views of Bush’s leadership were nearly the same in July 2005, in the first year of his second term (55% strong leader, 41% not).</p>
<p>Bush also got about the same rating for his ability to get things done as Obama does today (50% vs. 49% for Obama). Bill Clinton received more positive ratings for effectiveness than either Obama or Bush in the first year of his second term; in August 1997, 64% said Clinton was able to get things done.</p>
<h3>More Approve than Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-11.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20051202" alt="5-8-13 #11" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/05/5-8-13-11.png" width="296" height="317" /></a>Overall, 51% approve of the job Obama is doing as president, while 43% disapprove. Obama’s job ratings have ticked up since March (47% approve, 46% disapprove), but remain less positive than they were in December, immediately following his re-election (55% approve, 39% disapprove).</p>
<p>Among independents, 48% approve of the job Obama is doing while 45% disapprove. Democrats overwhelmingly approve of Obama’s job performance (85% approve vs. 9% disapprove), while Republicans disapprove by a similar margin (85% disapprove vs. 12% approve).</p>
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		<title>Obama Job Approval Slips as Economic Pessimism Rises</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/03/21/obama-job-approval-slips-as-economic-pessimism-rises/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/03/21/obama-job-approval-slips-as-economic-pessimism-rises/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Mar 2013 17:58:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20050402</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview Barack Obama’s job approval rating has tumbled since shortly after his re-election, as the public’s economic expectations for the coming year have soured. Despite substantial public awareness of recent gains in the stock market and rebounding real-estate values, the percentage saying economic conditions will get worse over the next year has risen to its [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-1.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050406" alt="3-21-13 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-1.png" width="294" height="350" /></a>Barack Obama’s job approval rating has tumbled since shortly after his re-election, as the public’s economic expectations for the coming year have soured. Despite substantial public awareness of recent gains in the stock market and rebounding real-estate values, the percentage saying economic conditions will get worse over the next year has risen to its highest point in nearly eight years.</p>
<p>Obama’s job approval measure has fallen eight points since December, from 55% to 47%. His rating is comparable to George W. Bush’s (45%) at the same point early in his second term and is much lower than Bill Clinton’s 60% rating in February 1997.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050407" alt="3-21-13 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-2.png" width="295" height="312" /></a>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted March 13-17 among 1,501 adults, finds that despite Obama’s lower job rating, he retains greater public confidence than congressional Republicans in dealing with the budget deficit: 53% express at least a fair amount of confidence in him to handle the budget, compared with 39% who express the same confidence in GOP leaders.</p>
<p>The decline in Obama’s approval rating comes at a time when the number of Americans saying that real estate prices have gone up has jumped from 25% in 2011 to 52% currently, and 71% of investors say the value of their portfolios have increased.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050408" alt="3-21-13 #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-3.png" width="410" height="256" /></a><a name="no-decline"></a>Yet the survey also finds that large percentages of Americans – particularly those with lower family incomes – continue to face severe economic and job-related problems. Nearly three-in-ten (28%) say they have had trouble getting or paying for medical care in the last year, while nearly as many (23%) report problems with paying their rent or mortgage. And 15% say they have been laid off or lost their job in the past year.</p>
<p>The share experiencing one or more of these problems is as high today as it was during the recession: Currently, 42% say they have encountered at least one of these problems, including 60% among those with annual family incomes of $30,000 or less.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050409" alt="3-21-13 #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-4.png" width="295" height="308" /></a>When it comes to views of the national economy, most Americans do not think a recovery has taken hold. Just 27% say that the economy is recovering, while 31% say it will recover soon and 40% say it will be a long time before the economy recovers. These views have changed little over the past year.</p>
<p>Looking ahead, the public’s forecast for the national economy has deteriorated. A year ago, nearly three times as many Americans expected the economy to be better as worse in the next year (44% vs. 14%). Today, just a quarter (25%) expect economic conditions to be better a year from now, while nearly a third (32%) say conditions will be worse.</p>
<p><a name="market-turnaround"></a>The market turnarounds are having a limited effect on the public’s economic outlook because they are not what affect people’s personal financial situation. When people are asked to consider the personal impact of different economic factors, just 32% say their household finances are affected a lot by real estate values, while even fewer (23%) say that the stock market has a major effect.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050410" alt="3-21-13 #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/03/3-21-13-5.png" width="296" height="374" /></a><a name="price-squeeze"></a>Instead, far more Americans say their households are affected by prices – both gas prices (64% a lot) and prices for food and consumer goods (58%). Prices are not only viewed as more important than real estate or the stock market but also the federal budget deficit and even the availability of jobs (39% each). And the news about prices is decidedly bad. The <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/03/12/views-of-economic-news-remain-mixed/">March update</a> of the Pew Research Center’s track of what people are hearing about the economy found 74% saying the news about gas prices was mostly bad, and 52% saying the same about consumer prices.</p>
<p>Rising prices also now rank near the top of the public’s economic worries. Currently, 32% say the job situation is the national economic issue that worries them most, while 29% cite rising prices and 27% the federal budget deficit. Just three months ago, jobs far surpassed all other economic worries – 40% cited the job situation, 25% said the budget deficit and just 22% rising prices.</p>
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		<title>If No Deal is Struck, Four-in-Ten Say Let the Sequester Happen</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/21/if-no-deal-is-struck-four-in-ten-say-let-the-sequester-happen/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/21/if-no-deal-is-struck-four-in-ten-say-let-the-sequester-happen/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Feb 2013 05:01:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20049987</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview After a series of fiscal crises over the past few years, the public is not expressing a particular sense of urgency over the pending March 1 sequester deadline. With little more than a week to go, barely a quarter have heard a lot about the scheduled cuts, while about as many have heard nothing [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>After a series of fiscal crises over the past few years, the public is not expressing a particular sense of urgency over the <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-27-13-1-update.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20050157" alt="2-27-13 #1 update" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-27-13-1-update.png" width="306" height="308" /></a>pending March 1 sequester deadline. With little more than a week to go, barely a quarter have heard a lot about the scheduled cuts, while about as many have heard nothing at all.</p>
<p>And if the president and Congress cannot reach a deficit reduction agreement before the deadline, 40% of Americans say it would be better to let the automatic spending cuts go into effect, while 49% say it would be better to delay the cuts. Both Republicans and independents are divided evenly over which approach is better, and even among Democrats, roughly a third favor letting the sequester take effect over any delays.</p>
<div style="background-color: #f5f4ee; border: 1px solid #cccccc; padding: 15px 25px 10px; float: right; width: 240px; margin-left: 15px;">
<p><a class="toc-anchor" name="related"></a></p>
<h3 style="padding-top: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px;">Related</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/24/deficit-reduction-rises-on-publics-agenda-for-obamas-second-term/">The public&#8217;s policy priorities for 2013</a></p>
<p>Views of Obama and Congress during the <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/13/as-fiscal-cliff-nears-democrats-have-public-opinion-on-their-side/">fiscal cliff</a> and <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/07/26/public-wants-a-debt-ceiling-compromise-expects-a-deal-before-deadline/">debt ceiling</a> negotiations</p>
<p><a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2013/02/21/poll-pew-obama-gop-guns-energy-immigration-sequester/1934233/">See analysis and charts on this same survey at USATODAY.com</a></p>
</div>
<p>The new survey, conducted Feb. 13-18, 2013 with 1,504 adults nationwide, is the first in a collaboration between the Pew Research Center and USA TODAY. It finds that, as with previous conflicts over the debt ceiling and fiscal cliff, Obama holds the upper hand politically over congressional Republicans. If there is no deficit deal by March 1, 49% say congressional Republicans would be more to blame while just 31% would mostly blame President Obama.</p>
<p>Moreover, 76% say that the president and Congress should focus on a combination of spending cuts and tax increases to reduce the budget deficit. Just 19% agree with the current Republican position that tax increases should be off the table.</p>
<p>And while Obama’s 51% job approval rating is down slightly from a post-election high of 55%, it remains well above the 25% approval rating for GOP congressional leaders. The job rating for Democratic leaders is higher (37%), though more disapprove (55%) than approve of their performance.</p>
<p>The poll finds new evidence of the public’s concern over the federal budget deficit. Fully 70% say it is essential for the president and Congress to pass major legislation to reduce the federal budget deficit, including wide majorities across party lines. <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/24/deficit-reduction-rises-on-publics-agenda-for-obamas-second-term/">Last month, the Pew Research Center’s annual policy priorities survey</a> found a sharp rise in the percentage rating deficit reduction as a top priority since 2009.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049991" alt="2-21-13  #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-2.png" width="294" height="217" /></a><a name="far-fewer"></a>Far fewer say it is essential to act on three other issues that Obama mentioned prominently in his State of the Union address: 51% say it is essential for the president and Congress to act on major immigration legislation; 46% view major gun legislation as essential; just 34% say it is essential to set new federal policies dealing with climate change.</p>
<p>There are wide partisan differences in attitudes about all four issues. This also is the case in views about whether to raise the minimum wage, another proposal Obama raised in his State of the Union.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049992" alt="2-21-13  #3" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-3.png" width="294" height="279" /></a>By a wide margin (71% to 26%), the public favors increasing the minimum wage from its current level of $7.25 per hour to $9.00 an hour. But while large majorities of Democrats (87%) and independents (68%) favor raising the minimum wage, Republicans are evenly divided (50% favor, 47% oppose).</p>
<p>Among all Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, those who agree with the Tea Party oppose the proposed minimum wage hike by two-to-one (64% to 32%). Those who have no opinion of the Tea Party, or disagree with it, favor increasing the minimum wage by 60% to 36%.</p>
<h3><a name="mixofmeasures"></a>Most Want Deficit Efforts Focused Largely on Spending Cuts</h3>
<p>A substantial majority of Americans (76%) feel that both spending cuts and tax increases should be a part of the next step in tackling the federal budget deficit. But an equally large proportion believes that the greater share should come from spending cuts, even if tax hikes <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049993" alt="2-21-13  #4" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-4.png" width="413" height="374" /></a>are also considered.</p>
<p>Overall, 19% say the focus of deficit reduction efforts should be only on spending cuts; just 3% want to concentrate only on tax increases. About four-in-ten Republicans (42%) favor reducing the deficit with spending cuts alone; that compares with 18% of independents and just 6% of Democrats. Even among Republicans, more favor a combination of spending cuts and tax increases to just spending cuts (56% vs. 42%).</p>
<p>When those who favor a balanced approach to reducing the deficit are asked if the focus should mostly be on spending cuts or tax increases, they overwhelmingly say spending cuts. Overall, 73% say efforts by the president and Congress to reduce the deficit should be only or mostly focused on spending cuts while just 19% say the focus should be only or mostly on tax increases.</p>
<h3><a name="immigration-path"></a>Immigration: Plurality Favors Border Security and Path to Citizenship</h3>
<p>Nearly half (47%) say the priority for illegal immigration is better border security, stronger law enforcement and creating a way for people here illegally to become citizens if they meet certain requirements. Just a quarter (25%) favors an enforcement-only approach while an identical percentage says the focus should only be on a so-called path to citizenship. The percentage favoring a dual approach to immigration policy has risen modestly since June, from 42% to 47%.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049994" alt="2-21-13  #5" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/02/2-21-13-5.png" width="295" height="257" /></a>Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say that better border security and stronger enforcement of immigration laws should be the bigger priority, while Democrats are more likely to want the focus to be on creating a way for illegal immigrants already here to become citizens if they meet certain requirements.</p>
<p>Obama holds a sizable advantage over congressional Republicans on immigration. Half (50%) say that Obama has a better approach to dealing with immigration, compared with 33% who say congressional Republicans have a better approach. Obama’s job approval in handling the nation’s immigration policy, in negative territory for most of his presidency, also has improved.</p>
<p>Currently, about as many approve (44%) as disapprove (43%) of Obama’s handling of immigration policy; in seven surveys since 2009, far more disapproved than approved. Hispanics, in particular, are much more positive about Obama’s job performance on immigration: 63% approve currently, up from just 28% in November 2011.</p>
<h3>Views on Gun Control Unchanged Since Shortly After Newtown</h3>
<p>Gun control and climate change are potentially even more divisive political issues. For Democrats, 71% say it is essential that the president and Congress pass major gun legislation this year – that is slightly higher than the number saying major deficit reduction legislation is essential (65%). But just 19% of Republicans place the same emphasis on gun legislation. Nearly half of Democrats (47%) view action on climate change as essential this year, compared with 15% of Republicans.</p>
<p>Americans remain divided over whether it is more important to control gun ownership (50%) or protect the right of Americans to own guns (46%), with no significant change in attitudes in the two months since shortly after the Newtown shootings. Similarly, there has been no change in public views about banning high capacity clips (53% favor), banning assault weapons (56% favor), or broader background checks (83% favor).</p>
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		<title>Obama’s Approval Ratings Over his First Term</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obamas-approval-ratings-over-his-first-term/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obamas-approval-ratings-over-his-first-term/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2013 20:11:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20049090</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[President Obama is in a strong position at the start of his second term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the earliest months of his presidency. But it has certainly had its ups and downs. Our chart below displays Obama’s job approval ratings from Pew Research Center polls combined with [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>President Obama is in a strong position at the start of his second term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the earliest months of his presidency. But it has certainly had its ups and downs. Our chart below displays Obama’s job approval ratings from Pew Research Center polls combined with major news events (the red dots) from the president’s first term. Read more about the public’s opinion of Obama, Republican and Democratic leaders and other issues related to the political climate in our <a title="Obama in Strong Position at Start of Second Term" href="http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obama-in-strong-position-at-start-of-second-term/">January report</a>.</p>
<p><iframe style="margin: 0 auto; display: block;" frameborder="0" height="350" scrolling="no" src="http://cms.pewresearch.org/wp-content/themes/pewresearch/static/obama-approval-ratings/index.html" width="640"></iframe></p>
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		<title>Obama in Strong Position at Start of Second Term</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obama-in-strong-position-at-start-of-second-term/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/17/obama-in-strong-position-at-start-of-second-term/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2013 15:56:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20049018</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview As he prepares for his second inauguration, Barack Obama is in a stronger position with the public than he was over much of his first term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the early months of his presidency. His personal favorability, currently 59%, has rebounded from a low of [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-1-.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049022" title="1-17-13 #1" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-1-.png" width="295" height="336" /></a>As he prepares for his second inauguration, Barack Obama is in a stronger position with the public than he was over much of his first term. At 52%, his job approval rating is among the highest since the early months of his presidency. His personal favorability, currently 59%, has rebounded from a low of 50% in the fall campaign. And increasing percentages describe him as a strong leader, able to get things done and as someone who stands up for his beliefs.</p>
<p>Obama’s political advantage is enhanced by the poor standing of his Republican counterparts. The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Jan. 9-13 among 1,502 adults finds that both House Speaker John Boehner and <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-2.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049023" title="1-17-13 #2" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-2.png" width="294" height="294" /></a>Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell are viewed more unfavorably than favorably.</p>
<p>The Republican Party’s image, which reached a recent high of 42% favorable following the GOP convention this past summer, has fallen once again to a low of just 33%. Much of this decline has come among Republicans themselves. Favorable opinions of the GOP among Republicans have fallen 20 points since September (from 89% to 69%) and are now as low as at any point during the past 20 years.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-3.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049024" title="1-17-13 #3" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-3.png" width="295" height="321" /></a>While his personal image is strong, Obama’s current j0b rating is not high compared with other two-term presidents since World War II. Among presidents dating back to Harry S. Truman, only George W. Bush began his second term with a rating about as low as Obama’s (50% approval in January 2005). To a degree, this reflects the partisan polarization in opinions about both Obama and Bush; Obama’s current rating among Republicans (14% approve) is about the same as Bush’s among Democrats eight years ago (17%).</p>
<p>Among recent two-term presidents, none has had a significantly better job approval mark at the end of his presidency than at the start of his second term.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-4.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049027" title="1-17-13 #4" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-4.png" width="411" height="353" /></a>Since Obama entered the White House four years ago, his strongest ratings have typically been on his personal traits, and he has improved his standing on these measures over the past year.</p>
<p>Fully 82% say that Obama stands up for what he believes in; 75% said this a year ago. Nearly six-in-ten (57%) say Obama is able to get things done, up 11 points from a year ago, and 59% say he is a strong leader, up seven points since then.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, these personal ratings are all far lower than they were shortly after he took office four years ago. <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2009/02/09/support-for-stimulus-plan-slips-but-obama-rides-high/">A few weeks after his inauguration</a>, 70% said he was able to get things done and even higher percentages gave him positive ratings for other attributes.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-5.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049028" title="1-17-13 #5" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-5.png" width="409" height="217" /></a><a name="partisan-conflict"></a>Obama also faces a far more skeptical and frustrated public today than he did four years ago. Just 33% expect economic conditions to get better over the coming year – that figure was 43% in December 2008. And the public is pessimistic about the prospects for bipartisan cooperation in Washington. Just 23% expect Republicans and Democrats will work together more in the coming year, less than half the percentage that expressed that view in January 2009 (50%).</p>
<p>After a series of bruising political battles over the <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-6.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20049029" title="1-17-13 #6" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/01/1-17-13-6.png" width="294" height="304" /></a>past few years, the public’s desire for political compromise in Washington has increased notably. In March 2011, soon after Republicans gained a majority in the House, 54% said they liked elected officials who stuck to their positions, while 40% liked politicians who made compromises with people they disagreed with. Today, 50% say they like leaders who compromise, and 44% like those who stick to their positions.</p>
<p>The percentages of Democrats and independents saying they prefer politicians who compromise has increased over the past two years. Currently, 59% of Democrats say they like elected officials who make compromises, up from 46% in March 2011. Similarly, there has been a 12-point increase in the percentage of independents expressing a preference for politicians who compromise (from 41% to 53%).</p>
<p>By contrast, Republicans’ opinions are largely unchanged from two years ago. Currently, 55% say they like elected officials who stick to their positions compared with 36% who like elected officials who make compromises. Among conservative Republicans, about twice as many prefer politicians who stick to their positions than those who compromise (60% vs. 31%).</p>
<h3>Other Important Findings</h3>
<p><strong>Christie’s Crossover Appeal.</strong> Favorable opinions of the New Jersey governor outnumber unfavorable views by two-to-one – among Democrats. He is even more highly regarded among Republicans.</p>
<p><strong>Mixed Views of Bloomberg.</strong> Impressions of New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg are more evenly divided. Notably, those who favor gun control view Bloomberg much more favorably than do supporters of gun rights.</p>
<p><strong>Obama’s Legacy – TBD.</strong> A third of Americans (33%) say that in the long run Obama will be a successful president, while 26% say he will be unsuccessful. But a plurality (39%) says it is too soon to tell. Views about Bush were similar at the start of his second term.</p>
<p><strong>Michelle’s Strong Image.</strong> While Barack Obama’s favorability rating has improved, the first lady is still more popular than her husband. Currently, 67% view Michelle Obama favorably, while just 22% have an unfavorable opinion of her.</p>
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		<title>Partisan Polarization Surges in Bush, Obama Years</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jun 2012 17:39:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20042054</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview As Americans head to the polls this November, their values and basic beliefs are more polarized along partisan lines than at any point in the past 25 years. Unlike in 1987, when this series of surveys began, the values gap between Republicans and Democrats is now greater than gender, age, race or class divides. [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>As Americans head to the polls this November, their values and basic beliefs are more polarized along partisan lines than at any point in the past 25 years. Unlike in 1987, when this series of surveys began, the values gap between Republicans and Democrats is now greater than gender, age, race or class divides.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042059"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042059" title="6-4-12 V #1" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-1.png" width="300" height="390" /></a>Overall, there has been much more stability than change across the 48 political values measures that the Pew Research Center has tracked since 1987. But the average partisan gap has nearly doubled over this 25-year period – from 10 percentage points in 1987 to 18 percentage points in the new study.</p>
<p>Nearly all of the increases have occurred during the presidencies of George W. Bush and Barack Obama. During this period, both parties’ bases have often been critical of their parties for not standing up for their traditional positions. Currently, 71% of Republicans and 58% of Democrats say their parties have not done a good job in this regard.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042060"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042060" title="6-4-12 V #2" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-2.png" width="297" height="418" /></a>With regard to the broad spectrum of values, basic demographic divisions – along lines such as gender, race, ethnicity, religion and class – are no wider than they have ever been. Men and women, whites, blacks and Hispanics, the highly religious and the less religious, and those with more and less education differ in many respects. However, these differences have not grown in recent years, and for the most part pale in comparison to the overwhelming partisan divide we see today.</p>
<p>In recent years, both parties have become smaller and more ideologically homogeneous. Republicans are dominated by self-described conservatives, while a smaller but growing number of Democrats call themselves liberals. Among Republicans, conservatives continue to outnumber moderates by about two-to-one. And there are now as many liberal Democrats as moderate Democrats.</p>
<p>But the growing partisan divide over political values is not simply the result of the declining number who identify with the party labels. While many Americans have given up their party identification over the past 25 years and now call themselves independents, the polarization extends also to independents, most of whom lean toward a political party. Even when the definition of the party bases is extended to include these leaning independents, the values gap has about doubled between 1987 and 2012.</p>
<p>Looking ahead to the 2012 election, the largest divides between committed supporters of Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are over the scope and role of government in the economic realm. Swing voters, who make up about a quarter of all registered voters, are cross-pressured. Their attitudes on the social safety net and immigration are somewhat closer to those of Romney supporters, while they tilt closer to Obama supporters in opinions about labor unions and some social issues.</p>
<p>In contrast to the widening partisan gap, the new survey finds neither growing class differences in fundamental political values, nor increasing class resentment. As in the past, a substantial majority of Americans agree that “the rich just get richer while the poor get poorer.” Yet there are no indications of increasing hostility toward the rich and successful. And there are no signs that lower-income people have become more cynical about an individual’s power to control their destiny or the value of hard work.</p>
<p>At the same time, the proportion of Americans who see a widening gap in living standards between the poor and middle class has grown since the mid-1980s. But the public sees no greater gap in values differences between the middle class and poor over this period.</p>
<p>The polling finds little support for the broad notion of American “declinism.” As has been the case in previous political values surveys, a large majority agrees that “as Americans we can always find a way to solve our problems and get what we want.” The public’s confidence in the nation has not been dulled, even as Americans have become more skeptical about prospects for economic growth.</p>
<p>These are among the principal findings of the latest Pew Research Center American Values survey, conducted April 4-15, 2012, among 3,008 adults nationwide. The values project, which began in 1987 and has been updated 14 times since then, tracks a wide range of the public’s fundamental beliefs. These questions do not measure opinions about specific policy or political questions, but rather the underlying values that ultimately shape those opinions.</p>
<div class="callout" style="width: 540px; margin-bottom: 30px;"><a class="toc-anchor" name="data-visualizations"></a></p>
<h3><strong><a href="http://www.people-press.org/values-questions/">American Values Interactive Database</a></strong></h3>
<p>To mark the 25th anniversary of the study, we have developed an <a href="http://www.people-press.org/values-questions/">interactive database</a> of the full history of the Center&#8217;s values studies.  This tool allows you to go beyond the surface to study change and stability within political and demographic subgroups.  <a href="http://www.people-press.org/values-questions/">Explore the database</a>.</p>
</div>
<h3>Widening Gaps over Social Safety Net, Environmentalism</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-4/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042062"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042062" title="6-4-12 V #4" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-4.png" width="294" height="510" /></a>The survey covers the public’s attitudes on the role and performance of government, the environment, business, labor, equal opportunity, national security and several other dimensions.</p>
<p>Republicans are most distinguished by their increasingly minimalist views about the role of government and lack of support for environmentalism. Democrats have become more socially liberal and secular. Republicans and Democrats are most similar in their level of political engagement.</p>
<p>On some sets of issues, such as views of the social safety net, there already were sizable partisan gaps in Pew Research’s first political values study in 1987. But these differences have widened considerably. On others, such as measures of religiosity and social conservatism, there were only modest differences initially, but these divides also have grown.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-5/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042063"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042063" title="6-4-12 V #5" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-5.png" width="299" height="615" /></a>Republicans and Democrats are furthest apart in their opinions about the social safety net. There are partisan differences of 35 points or more in opinions about the government’s responsibility to care for the poor, whether the government should help more needy people if it means adding to the debt and whether the government should guarantee all citizens enough to eat and a place to sleep.</p>
<p>On all three measures, the percentage of Republicans asserting a government responsibility to aid the poor has fallen in recent years to 25-year lows.</p>
<p>Just 40% of Republicans agree that “It is the responsibility of the government to take care of people who can’t take care of themselves,” down 18 points since 2007. In three surveys during the George W. Bush administration, no fewer than half of Republicans said the government had a responsibility to care for those unable to care for themselves. In 1987, during the Ronald Reagan’s second term, 62% expressed this view.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-6/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042064"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042064" title="6-4-12 V #6" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-6.png" width="295" height="349" /></a>Over the past two decades, the public consensus in favor of tougher environmental restrictions has weakened, also primarily because of changing opinions among Republicans.</p>
<p>For the first time in a Pew Research Center political values survey, only about half of Republicans (47%) agree that “there needs to be stricter laws and regulations to protect the environment.” This represents a decline of 17 points since 2009 and a fall of nearly 40 points, from 86%, since 1992.</p>
<p>The partisan gap over this measure was modest two decades ago. Today, roughly twice as many Democrats as Republicans say stricter environmental laws and regulations are needed (93% vs. 47%)<a name="secular"></a>.</p>
<h3>Democrats More Secular, Socially Liberal</h3>
<p>Yet the widening partisan divide in political values is not just the result of changing opinions among Republicans. Democrats have shifted their views in a number of areas in recent years, though less dramatically: They have become more secular, more positive in their views of immigrants and more supportive of policies aimed at achieving equal opportunity.</p>
<p>Roughly three-quarters of Democrats (77%) say they “never doubt the existence of God,” as do 76% of independents. The proportion of Democrats saying they never doubt God’s existence has fallen 11 points over the past decade. Among white Democrats, the decline has been 17 points – from 85% in 2002 to 68% currently.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-7/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042065"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042065" title="6-4-12 V #7" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-7.png" width="409" height="354" /></a>Independents also are less likely to express firm belief in God than in the past. By contrast, the percentage of Republicans saying they never doubt God’s existence is as large today (92%) as it was a decade ago, or a quarter century ago.</p>
<p>There also has been a substantial decline in the share of Democrats saying they “have old-fashioned values about family and marriage.” Just 60% of Democrats currently agree, down from 70% in 2007 and 86% in the first political values survey. Republicans’ views have shown far less change: Currently, 88% say they have old-fashioned values about marriage and family.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-8/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042066"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042066" title="6-4-12 V #8" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-8.png" width="297" height="350" /></a>Democratic support for doing whatever is necessary to improve the position of minorities, including the possible use of preferences, has increased in recent years. About half (52%) of Democrats agree that “We should make every effort to improve the position of blacks and other minorities, even if it means giving them preferential treatment” – an 11-point increase since 2007.</p>
<p>Republicans’ views have changed little over this period. Just 12% currently agree that all efforts should be taken, including the use of preferential treatment, to improve the position of minorities. Since 1987, the gap between the two parties has about doubled – from 18 points to 40 points.</p>
<h3>Class Divides: No Wider than in 1987</h3>
<p>While the partisan gaps in political values have increased substantially, class divisions have not. This does not mean there are not significant differences, particularly when it comes to views about whether hard work leads to success and whether success is within an individual’s control. But these differences are generally no wider today than in recent years, or than they were in the initial political values survey.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-9/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042067"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042067" title="6-4-12 V #9" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-9.png" width="409" height="535" /></a>For the past 25 years, majorities across most groups have rejected the idea that “hard work offers little guarantee of success.” In the current survey, just 35% agree with this statement while 63% disagree. As in the past, those with less education and lower incomes are more likely than those with more education and higher incomes to say that hard work does not ensure success.</p>
<p>Currently, 45% of those with no more than a high school education agree that hard work offers little guarantee of success, compared with 25% of college graduates. The gap was about as large in Pew Research’s first political values study (35% vs.17%).</p>
<p>Among whites who have not completed college, 36% are skeptical that hard work guarantees success; fewer white college graduates agree (24%). The education gap among whites was comparable in 1987 (29% non-college grad, 16% college grad).</p>
<p>There is greater agreement across socioeconomic lines in views of the gap between the rich and poor in this country.</p>
<p>As has been the case in most values surveys, majorities in all educational and income groups agree that “today it’s really true that the rich just get richer while the poor get poorer.” In the current survey, 76% of the public agrees with this statement, about the same as the 74% that agreed in 1987.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-10/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042068"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042068" title="6-4-12 V #10" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-10.png" width="297" height="391" /></a>Still, there is evidence that the public sees greater economic inequality today than it did in the 1980s. About six-in-ten (61%) say the gap in living standards between middle class and poor people has widened over the past 10 years, while just 28% say it has narrowed.</p>
<p>In a 1986 survey by Gallup and the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, just 40% said the gap in the standard of living between the middle class and poor had grown, while about as many (39%) said it had narrowed.</p>
<p>Yet there has been far less change in opinions about whether the values of middle class and poor people are growing apart. In the current survey, 47% say the values of the middle class and poor have gotten more similar over the past 10 years; somewhat fewer (41%) say they have gotten more different. That is little changed from the 1986 survey, when 44% said the values of each had gotten more similar and 33% more different.</p>
<h3>Economic Views Sour, But No Decline in Optimism</h3>
<p>The survey also finds new evidence of the toll taken by the economic downturn, both on people’s personal financial assessments and their views of the country’s economic prospects. Just 53% say they are “pretty well satisfied with the way things are going for me financially.” That matches the lowest percentage ever, reached three years ago. People with family incomes of $75,000 or more express greater satisfaction with their finances than in 2009; financial satisfaction has continued to sag among those with incomes of less than $40,000.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-11/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042069"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042069" title="6-4-12 V #11" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-11.png" width="296" height="322" /></a>Only about half of Americans (51%) agree with this statement: “I don’t believe that there are any real limits to growth in this country today”; 45% disagree. That is the lowest percentage ever agreeing with this statement, down slightly from 54% in 2009. In the first political values survey, 67% said there were no limits to growth in the United States.</p>
<p>Despite persistent economic pessimism, however, the public remains bullish about the ability of the American people to overcome challenges. Nearly seven-in-ten (69%) agree that “As Americans, we can always find a way to solve our problems and get what we want.” While that is largely unchanged from 2009 (70%), it is up 11 points since 2007 (58%). It also is about the same percentage that agreed with this statement in the first values survey (68%).<a name="swingvoters"></a></p>
<h3>Political Values and the 2012 Election</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-12/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042070"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042070" title="6-4-12 V #12" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-12.png" width="412" height="380" /></a>When the values items are combined into indices (grouping measures on common subjects, such as the social safety net, into a single scale), swing voters – who make up 23% of all registered voters – tend to fall about halfway between certain Obama voters and certain Romney voters. Swing voters are either undecided, only lean toward a candidate, or favor a candidate but say there is still a chance they will change their minds.  (For more, see <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/04/17/with-voters-focused-on-economy-obama-lead-narrows/">“With Voters Focused on Economy, Obama Lead Narrows,”</a> April 17, 2012).</p>
<p>On views about the scope and performance of government, for example, there is a wide divide between certain Obama and Romney supporters. But the attitudes of swing voters are about equidistant from backers of either candidate. The same is true on several other key indices, including views of business, the environment and national security.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, there are some issues on which the views of swing voters tilt slightly toward the backers of either candidate. On attitudes toward labor and social conservatism, opinion among swing voters comes somewhat closer to that of Obama voters. By contrast, on indices measuring attitudes on the social safety net and immigration, swing voters’ opinions tilt toward those of Romney supporters.</p>
<p>While the views of swing voters generally fall between those of certain Obama and Romney backers, there are a handful of individual questions that show agreement between swing voters and the supporters of one candidate or the other.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-13/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042071"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042071" title="6-4-12 V #13" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-13.png" width="410" height="590" /></a>For example, on the power of labor unions and admiration of wealthy people, the opinions of swing voters are closer to those of Obama supporters. About half of swing voters (51%) agree that labor unions have too much power, placing them closer to the views of Obama supporters (39% agree) than Romney supporters (82%).</p>
<p>Just 22% of swing voters, and an identical percentage of Obama supporters, say they “admire people who are rich.” A much higher percentage of Romney supporters (38%) agree.</p>
<p>But swing voters are far closer to Romney voters on the question of whether the government should help more needy people even if it means going further into debt: just 19% of Romney voters and 27% of swing voters agree, compared with a 62% majority of Obama voters.</p>
<h3>Number of Independents Continues to Grow</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-14/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042072"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042072" title="6-4-12 V #14" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-14.png" width="295" height="356" /></a>While Republicans and Democrats have been moving further apart in their beliefs, both groups have also been shrinking. Pew Research Center polling conducted so far in 2012 has found fewer Americans affiliating with one of the major parties than at any point in the past 25 years. And looking at data from Gallup going back to 1939, it is safe to say that there are more political independents in 2012 than at any point in the last 75 years.</p>
<p>Currently, 38% of Americans identify as independents, while 32% affiliate with the Democratic Party and 24% affiliate with the GOP. That is little changed from recent years, but long-term trends show that both parties have lost support.</p>
<p>The percentage of Americans identifying as Democrats increased from 31% in 2002, following the 9/11 terrorist attacks, to 36% in 2008. But over the past four years, Democratic affiliation has fallen to 32%. Republican identification stood at 30% in 2002, but fell to 25% in 2008 and has not recovered since then.</p>
<h3>More Conservative Republicans, More Liberal Democrats</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-15/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042073"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042073" title="6-4-12 V #15" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-15.png" width="295" height="333" /></a>Over the past decade, the Republican Party has come to be dominated by conservatives, while liberals make up an increasing share of Democrats.</p>
<p>In surveys conducted this year, 68% of Republicans describe themselves as politically conservative. That is little changed from 2008, but is higher than in 2004 (63%) or 2000 (60%).</p>
<p>Demographically, Republicans remain overwhelmingly white and their average age now approaches 50. Fully 87% of Republicans are non-Hispanic whites, a figure which has changed little since 2000.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-16/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042074"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042074" title="6-4-12 V #16" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-16.png" width="294" height="333" /></a>Meanwhile, the percentage of Democrats who say their political views are liberal has risen from 28% in 2000 to 34% in 2008 and 38% in 2012 surveys by the Pew Research Center. For the first time, there are as many liberal Democrats as moderate Democrats.</p>
<p>In contrast to Republicans, Democrats have grown increasingly diverse. A narrow majority of Democrats (55%) are non-Hispanic whites, down from 64% in 2000. As in recent years, most Democrats are women (59%). And while the average age of self-described Democrats has risen since 2008 – from 46.9 to 47.7 – Democrats continue to be younger than Republicans on average (47.7 vs. 49.7).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/6-4-12-v-17/" rel="attachment wp-att-20042075"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20042075" title="6-4-12 V #17" alt="" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-17.png" width="296" height="333" /></a>Independents also have become more diverse since 2000: Two-thirds of independents (67%) are non-Hispanic whites, down 12 points from 2000. The proportion of independents who are Hispanic has nearly doubled – from 9% to 16% – over this period.</p>
<p>A plurality of independents (43%) describes their views as moderate, while 30% are conservative and 22% are liberal. These views are largely unchanged from previous election years.</p>
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		<title>Half Say View of Obama Not Affected by Gay Marriage Decision</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/14/half-say-view-of-obama-not-affected-by-gay-marriage-decision/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/14/half-say-view-of-obama-not-affected-by-gay-marriage-decision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 18:49:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20041029</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview Roughly half of Americans (52%) say Barack Obama’s expression of support for gay marriage did not affect their opinion of the president. A quarter (25%) say they feel less favorably toward Obama because of this while 19% feel more favorably. There are wide partisan and age differences in reactions to Obama’s expression of support [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/14/half-say-view-of-obama-not-affected-by-gay-marriage-decision/5-14-12-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-20041032"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20041032" title="5-14-12 #1" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/05/5-14-12-1.png" alt="" width="314" height="305" /></a>Roughly half of Americans (52%) say Barack Obama’s expression of support for gay marriage did not affect their opinion of the president. A quarter (25%) say they feel less favorably toward Obama because of this while 19% feel more favorably.</p>
<p>There are wide partisan and age differences in reactions to Obama’s expression of support for gay marriage, according to the latest weekly survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted May 10-13 among 1,003 adults.</p>
<p>About half of Republicans (53%) say they feel less favorably toward Obama because of his support for gay marriage. By contrast, 60% of independents and 52% of Democrats say their view of Obama has not changed. Among independents, as many say they feel less favorably as more favorably toward Obama as a result of his gay marriage decision (19% each). Far more Democrats say they feel more favorably than less favorably toward Obama (32% vs. 13%).</p>
<p>Among those 65 and older, 42% say they feel less favorably toward Obama, while just 15% feel more favorably; 38% say their opinion of Obama is unchanged as a result of his expression of support for gay marriage. Among younger age groups, half or more – including 62% of those under 30 – say they opinion of Obama was unaffected by his gay marriage announcement.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/14/half-say-view-of-obama-not-affected-by-gay-marriage-decision/5-14-12-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-20041033"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20041033" title="5-14-12 #2" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/05/5-14-12-2.png" alt="" width="294" height="467" /></a>The opinions of whites largely reflect the population as a whole: 49% say Obama’s expression of support for gay marriage did not alter their opinion of the president. Among those who say it did, somewhat more say it made their view of him less favorable than more (29% vs. 20%). Most African Americans, on the other hand, say the announcement did not alter their opinion of Obama. About two-thirds (68%) say this, while about as many say it made them view Obama more favorably (16%) as less favorably (13%).</p>
<p>Obama’s expression of support for gay marriage comes at a time when the public’s support for allowing gays and lesbians to marry is growing. According to a recent Pew Research survey, 47% now say they favor allowing gay marriage while 43% oppose this. In 2008, 51% opposed allowing gay marriage, while 39% favored it. (See: <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/04/25/more-support-for-gun-rights-gay-marriage-than-in-2008-or-2004/">&#8220;More Support for Gun Rights, Gay Marriage than in 2008 or 2004&#8243;</a>, April 25, 2012.)</p>
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		<title>Obama: Weak Job Ratings, But Positive Personal Image</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jan 2012 16:17:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Survey Reports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20037702</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview Barack Obama begins his fourth year in office facing a struggling economy, an unhappy public, and a lower job approval rating than most of his recent predecessors at a comparable point in their presidencies. In fact, Obama’s job rating today is a bit more negative than it was in December: 48% disapprove of his [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>Barack Obama begins his fourth year in office facing a struggling economy, an unhappy public, and a lower job approval rating than most of his recent predecessors at a <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/1-19-12-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-20037706"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20037706" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/01/1-19-12-1.png" alt="" width="294" height="483" /></a>comparable point in their presidencies. In fact, Obama’s job rating today is a bit more negative than it was in December: 48% disapprove of his performance as president while 44% approve.</p>
<p>George W. Bush began his reelection year with a 56% job approval rating; Bill Clinton’s approval rating was 50% in January 1996. Obama’s current mark is closer to George H. W. Bush’s in January 1992 (46% approved, 43% disapproved).</p>
<p>Obama continues to struggle among political independents: Just 37% of independents approve of the way he is handling his job as president while 56% disapprove. George H. W. Bush had a similar approval rating (39%). But Obama’s disapproval rating among independents is higher than Bush’s, and much higher than either Clinton’s or George W. Bush’s.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, Obama possesses political strengths at the start of his reelection year, notably a positive personal image. Large majorities say Obama stands up for his beliefs (75%), cares about people like them (61%) and is trustworthy (61%). And while perceptions of Obama’s leadership have declined over time, on balance more say he is a strong leader than disagree (52% vs. 45%).</p>
<p>The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Jan. 11-16 among 1,502 adults, finds that Obama’s personal image is much stronger than GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney’s. Currently, 51% say they have a favorable opinion of Obama while 45% have an unfavorable view. Romney’s favorability with the public stands at just 31%, while his unfavorable rating is as high as Obama’s (45%). (For more on the GOP primary and general election, see<a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/18/unpopular-nationally-romney-holds-solid-gop-lead/"> “Unpopular Nationally, Romney Holds Solid GOP Lead,” </a>Jan. 18, 2012).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/1-19-12-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-20037707"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20037707" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/01/1-19-12-2.png" alt="" width="294" height="192" /></a>The survey also finds that Michelle Obama remains broadly popular with the public. Currently 66% say they have a favorable opinion of Michelle Obama while just 21% have an unfavorable view. Favorable opinions of the first lady have declined only modestly – by 10 points – since peaking at 76% early in her first year in the White House. In contrast, Barack Obama’s personal favorability has fallen by 22 points (from 73% to 51%) during this period.</p>
<p>The public’s views of the legacy of the Obama presidency reflect his mixed job approval ratings. About as many say Obama will be an unsuccessful (32%) as a successful president (27%), with a plurality (39%) saying it is too soon to tell. Similarly, about equal percentages think the failures of the Obama administration will outweigh its accomplishments (44%) as say its accomplishments will outweigh its failures (43%). On both measures, Obama is seen less positively than George W. Bush was at about the same point in his first term.</p>
<p>As has been the case for much of his presidency, Obama receives much better job approval ratings for terrorism and international threats than he does for the economy, energy policy <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/1-19-12-3/" rel="attachment wp-att-20037708"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20037708" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/01/1-19-12-3.png" alt="" width="294" height="288" /></a>or the budget deficit. Obama’s approval rating for handling the threat of terrorism stands at 65%, 10 points higher than a year ago. His rating for terrorism today is nearly as high as it was just after the killing of Osama bin Laden last May (69%).</p>
<p>A majority of the public (56%) also approves of the way Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan; just 37% disapprove. His job rating on Afghanistan also turned much more positive following bin Laden’s death and remains positive today.</p>
<p>Nearly half (48%) approve of the way Obama is dealing with the situation in Iran; almost as many (41%) disapprove. And about as many approve (46%) as disapprove (45%) of the way Obama is handling the nation’s foreign policy.</p>
<p>However, Obama’s job ratings on major domestic issues – the economy and the federal budget deficit – remain abysmal. Just 38% approve of his handling of the economy while 59% disapprove. His rating on the budget deficit is equally negative (34% approve, 62% disapprove. The percentage disapproving of his handling of these issues has risen over the past year (by eight points and nine points, respectively).  In addition, for the first time in Obama’s presidency, significantly more disapprove (46%) than approve (36%) of his handling of energy policy. (This survey was conducted before the Obama administration’s recent decision on the Keystone XL oil pipeline.)</p>
<h3><strong>Other Findings</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Few “Green Shoots” Evident.</strong> Public views about the economy remain quite negative. Just 11% say the nation’s economy is excellent or good, and only 16% say jobs are plentiful in their community. Still, more expect economic conditions to be better a year from now than did so in December (34% now, 28% then).</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/19/obama-begins-year-four-with-weak-job-ratings-but-positive-personal-image/1-19-12-4/" rel="attachment wp-att-20037709"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20037709" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/01/1-19-12-4.png" alt="" width="298" height="265" /></a>Congress at Record Low.</strong> Just 23% express favorable opinion of Congress, among the lowest measures ever in a Pew Research Center survey. House Speaker John Boehner and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid are increasingly unpopular among members of their own parties.</p>
<p><strong>Cooperation Not Conflict.</strong> Nearly six-in-ten (58%) say GOP leaders should work with Obama, even if it means disappointing some Republican supporters. About the same percentage (59%) wants to see Obama compromise, even if that means disappointing some Democratic supporters.</p>
<p><strong>Biden Down, Clinton Still Up.</strong> Joe Biden’s favorability rating has declined since the first year of the Obama administration. Just 38% view Biden favorably, down from 50% in November 2009. By contrast, 62% view Hillary Clinton favorably, largely unchanged over this period.</p>
<p><strong>Obama’s Influences.</strong> Nearly seven-in-ten Republicans (69%) say Obama listens more to liberal Democrats than moderates in the party. Democrats, by contrast, increasingly see Obama being influenced by moderates – 58% of Democrats express this view, up from 44% in June 2010.</p>
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		<title>The Generation Gap and the 2012 Election</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Nov 2011 15:45:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.people-press.org/?p=20035589</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Overview In the last four national elections, generational differences have mattered more than they have in decades. According to the exit polls, younger people have voted substantially more Democratic than other age groups in each election since 2004, while older voters have cast more ballots for Republican candidates in each election since 2006. The latest [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>In the last four national elections, generational differences have mattered more than they have in decades. According to the exit polls, younger people have voted substantially more Democratic than other age groups in each election since 2004, while older voters have cast more ballots for Republican candidates in each election since 2006.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035606"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035606" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-1.png" alt="" width="293" height="382" /></a>The latest national polls suggest this pattern may well continue in 2012. <strong>Millennial generation</strong> voters are inclined to back Barack Obama for reelection by a wide margin in a matchup against Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate who has run the strongest against Obama in many polls. By contrast, <strong>Silent generation</strong> voters are solidly behind Romney.</p>
<p>In between the youngest and the oldest voters are the <strong>Baby Boom generation</strong> and <strong>Generation X</strong>. Both groups are less supportive of Obama than they were in 2008 and are now on the fence with respect to a second term for the president.</p>
<p>One of the largest factors driving the current generation gap is the arrival of diverse and Democratic-oriented Millennials. Shaped by the politics and conditions of the Bill Clinton and George W. Bush presidencies, this group holds liberal attitudes on most social and governmental issues.</p>
<p>In contrast, the Silent generation – whose members reached adulthood between the late 1940s and early 1960s and now make up over 80% of Americans age 65 and older – has held relatively conservative views on social issues and the role of government for most of their lives. Their growing unease, and even anger, about the direction of the country in recent years has moved them further toward the GOP, largely erasing the Democratic Party’s advantage in affiliation.</p>
<p>While the political divides between young and old are deep, there are potential fissures at both ends of the age spectrum. Millennials continue to support Obama at much higher levels than older generations. But Obama’s job ratings have fallen steeply among this group, as well as among older generations, since early 2009. Perhaps more ominously for Obama, Millennials are much less engaged in politics than they were at this stage in the 2008 campaign.</p>
<p>In contrast, Silents – particularly those who affiliate with or lean to the Republican Party – are far more engaged in the presidential campaign than they were at this point in the contest four years ago. While Silents support Romney over Obama by a wide margin, they express highly unfavorable views of both the GOP and the Democratic Party.</p>
<p>Silents prefer the Republican Party on most issues, with Social Security a notable exception. Silents are about evenly divided over whether the Democrats or the Republicans can better handle Social Security. If debate over Social Security and Medicare comes to the forefront, it raises potentially significant cross pressures for Silent generation voters, who rank Social Security among the top issues affecting their 2012 vote.</p>
<p>Growing racial and ethnic diversity, which is concentrated among younger generations, has benefited Democrats. Race and ethnicity are strongly associated with views about government, and in no small part account for some of the greater liberalism of the younger age groups and greater conservatism of older groups.</p>
<p>The polling finds that older generations – Boomers and especially Silents – do not fully embrace diversity. Fewer in these groups see the increasing populations of Latinos and Asians, as well as more racial intermarriage, as changes for the better. For many Silents in particular, Obama himself may represent an unwelcome indicator of the way the face of America has changed. Feelings of “unease” with Obama, along with higher levels of anger, are the emotions that most differentiate the attitudes of Silents from those of the youngest generation.</p>
<p>The nation’s ongoing economic difficulties have affected all generations. But Boomers and Gen Xers are far more likely than either Silents or Millennials to have little or no confidence they will have enough money to finance their retirement. And two-thirds of Boomers ages 50 to 61 who are still working expect to delay retirement because of current economic conditions.</p>
<p>These are the principal findings from two major national surveys exploring generational differences in political attitudes conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press (Sept. 22-Oct. 4) and the Pew Research Center’s Social &amp; Demographic Trends project (Sept. 1-15). Together, these surveys interviewed 4,413 adults. They have been supplemented with data from other polling over the course of the year and analyses of census data by Pew Social &amp; Demographic Trends.</p>
<p>The study provides a detailed look at the current generational dynamics of American politics. Why are <strong>Silent generation</strong> voters so angry? How have the political leanings of <strong>Baby Boomers</strong> evolved? Is the Reagan-era<strong> Generation X</strong> moving closer to the Democratic column? Will <strong>Millennials</strong> be as engaged and enthused about Obama as they were in 2008? The answers lie in understanding the broad political, social and economic changes of the past decades and how they have shaped the political leanings of these generations over time.</p>
<h3>A Closer Look at … Older Americans</h3>
<p>The vast majority of Americans who are 65 and older are members of the Silent generation (ages 66 to 83). They came of age in the Truman, Eisenhower and Kennedy years. Silents favored the Democrats at times during the 1990s, but in recent elections have strongly supported the Republicans. While they aligned more with the Democrats in the 1990s, they have become much more Republican in recent years. The Silent generation “replaced” the <strong>Greatest generation</strong>, who were more reliable Democratic voters when they constituted the bulk of the senior vote.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035607"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035607" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-2.png" alt="" width="294" height="324" /></a>Silents increasingly call themselves conservative and they hold the most consistently conservative views about government, social issues and America’s place in the world. Unlike other generations that in recent years have become more supportive of smaller government, they have held conservative views about government for years.</p>
<p>Today, an overwhelming majority of Silents are either angry or frustrated with government. They are the generation that is most strongly disapproving of Barack Obama, for whom a majority did not vote. Silents also are the most politically energized generation, as they demonstrated in the 2010 midterms.</p>
<p>More often than the younger generations, Silents take the American exceptionalist view that the United States is the greatest nation in the world. But fewer older people than young people think that “America’s best days are ahead of us.”</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-3/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035608"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035608" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-3.png" alt="" width="294" height="333" /></a>The political discontent of the Silent generation is not economically based. A greater proportion of Silents than younger people say they are financially satisfied, and Silents are less likely to say they often do not have enough money to make ends meet.</p>
<p>Race is a factor in their political attitudes. Silents are the whitest of the generations and are the least accepting of the new face of America. Compared with younger generations, relatively few Silents see racial intermarriage and the growing population of immigrants as changes for the better.</p>
<p>As was the case in 2008, racial attitudes are associated with views of Obama and voting <a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-4/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035609"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035609" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-4.png" alt="" width="295" height="355" /></a>intentions. And while there is racial intolerance in all generations, it is more prevalent among older than younger age groups.</p>
<p>While Silent generation voters say they are solidly behind Obama’s Republican challengers, there are some signs of potential opportunity for the Democrats. Silents cite Social Security as often as they name jobs as their top voting issue. And while seniors tend to favor the Republican Party on most issues, they are as likely to favor the Democrats as Republicans on Social Security.</p>
<h3>Young People</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-5/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035610"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035610" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-5.png" alt="" width="299" height="399" /></a>Millennials, who are 18 to 30, have voted more Democratic than older voters in the last four national elections. They came of age in the Clinton and Bush eras, and hold liberal attitudes on most social and governmental issues, as well as America’s approach to foreign policy.</p>
<p>Just as members of the Silent generation are long-term backers of smaller government, Millennials, at least so far, hold “baked in” support for a more activist government.</p>
<p>Millennials have come of age professing an allegiance to the Democratic Party and profoundly little identification with the GOP. Today, half of Millennials (50%) think of themselves as Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents while just 36% affiliate with or lean toward the GOP.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-6/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035611"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035611" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-6.png" alt="" width="295" height="269" /></a>Although they back Barack Obama for reelection by a wide margin in matchups against both Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, just 49% approve of his job performance, down 24 points since February 2009.</p>
<p>Millennials are a racially and ethnically diverse generation. Only 59% of Millennials are white non-Hispanic. They are well acquainted with changing face of America and overwhelmingly think these changes are good for the country.</p>
<p>The racial gap also helps explain the greater liberalism of Millennials when compared with older generations. The racial factor, however, mutes rather than explains away the ideological and partisan gaps between Millennials and older voters. For example, while 57% of all Millennials favor a bigger government with more services, just 44% of white Millennials do. But only about a quarter of whites in older generations (27%) support an activist government.</p>
<p>Similarly, while 61% of all Millennials back Obama in a matchup against Romney, only 49% of white Millennials do. But this compares to 37% of older whites who back the president.</p>
<p>For more on Millennials, see <a href="http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2010/02/24/millennials-confident-connected-open-to-change/"><em>Millennials: Confident. Connected. Open to Change</em></a>, Feb. 24, 2010.</p>
<h3>Middle-Aged Americans</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-7/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035612"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035612" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-7.png" alt="" width="296" height="347" /></a>Baby Boomers (ages 47 to 65) are the largest generation. They came of age under presidents Johnson, Nixon, Ford, Carter and Reagan.<br />
Boomers had very little allegiance to the GOP during the 1960s and 70s, but were increasingly drawn to the Republican Party starting in the 1980s. Since then, they have tilted to the Democratic Party.</p>
<p>Historically, there has been an age gap within the Baby Boom generation. Older Boomers, who cast their first ballots in the Nixon elections of 1968 and 1972, have voted more Democratic than have younger Boomers who came of age under Ford, Carter and Reagan. In 2008, for example, Obama performed better among older Boomers (currently 56 to 65) than younger Boomers (47 to 55).</p>
<p>Boomers supported Republican candidates in 2010. Currently, they are almost as disillusioned with Obama as are Silents, yet are divided in a matchup between Obama and Romney.</p>
<p>In recent years, more Boomers have come to call themselves conservatives. A majority of Boomers now favors a smaller government that provides fewer services. When they were in their 20s and 3os, Boomers were more supportive of big government. Today, almost as many Boomers as Silents say they are angry with government.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-8/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035613"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035613" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-8.png" alt="" width="294" height="277" /></a>Boomers’ current attitudes bear little imprint from coming of age in an era of great social change. On most social issues, their opinions generally fall between the Silents and the younger age cohorts. And many Boomers express reservations about the changing face of America.</p>
<p>Like younger generations, many Boomers say they are dissatisfied with their financial situation and their anxieties about retirement have increased. In a survey conducted last year, a majority of Boomers (54%) said they were in worse shape financially than they were before the recession. Today, 38% say they are not confident that they will have enough income and assets to last through their retirement years.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-9/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035614"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035614" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-9.png" alt="" width="294" height="374" /></a>Like other generations, Boomers oppose cutting entitlement benefits in order to reduce the budget deficit. They are also part of a multi-generational majority that supports reducing Social Security and Medicare benefits for seniors with higher incomes. However, unlike Silents, Boomers oppose raising the eligibility age for Social Security and Medicare.</p>
<p>Generation X, ages 31 to 46, is the in-between generation. They represent the dividing line on many issues between young and old, but they are not as Democratic and liberal as the younger Millennial generation.</p>
<p>Gen Xers mostly came of age politically in the Reagan, George H.W. Bush and Clinton years. In the 1990s, they divided their loyalties between the parties. In 2000, they split their votes between George W. Bush and Al Gore; they narrowly supported Bush in 2004 and favored Obama by clear margin in 2008.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-10/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035615"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035615" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-10.png" alt="" width="294" height="242" /></a>Gen Xers are less supportive of larger government than they once were. And along with other generations, their views of Obama have become more negative. Gen Xers supported GOP candidates by a small margin in 2010. Currently, as many Gen Xers favor Romney as Obama.</p>
<p>On a range of social issues Gen Xers take a more liberal position than do older voters. Gen Xers are more likely than both Boomers and Silents to favor gay marriage and marijuana legalization, and Gen Xers are far more comfortable with the social diversity of 21st century America.</p>
<p>As with Millennials and Boomers, jobs are the number one voting issue for Gen Xers. And they are increasingly anxious over their financial futures. Fully 46% say they are not confident that they will have enough income and assets to last through their retirement years – the highest percentage in any generation.</p>
<h3>Entitlements: Agreement on Principles, Not Policies</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-11/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035616"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035616" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-11.png" alt="" width="409" height="596" /></a>The poll finds a fair amount generational agreement on entitlement issues. Majorities across generations say that the federal government does too little for older people. And there is broad agreement that it is more important to maintain current retirement benefits than to reduce the budget deficit, though that view is more widely shared among older than younger generations.</p>
<p>But wide generation gaps exist with respect to a number of proposed reforms to the retirement programs. Silents are lukewarm toward allowing younger workers to invest their Social Security taxes in private accounts and using their Medicare benefits to purchase private insurance. Millennials, in particular, enthusiastically embrace these proposed changes.</p>
<p>Moreover, Silents are more supportive than are younger generations of gradually raising the retirement age for receiving Social Security and Medicare benefits. Roughly half of Silents favor raising the retirement age for these programs; no more than four-in-ten in younger generations agree.</p>
<h3>Generational Voting in Red and Blue</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-12/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035617"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035617" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-12.png" alt="" width="409" height="384" /></a>One way to look at the political leanings of generations is to sort people by the political environment when they became politically engaged. For example, not so long ago, voters 65 and older were predominantly members of the Greatest generation, most of whom came of age during FDR’s presidency and were fairly reliable supporters of Democrats even into their later years.</p>
<p>As recently as 2004, members of the Greatest generation supported John Kerry by a greater margin than did all voters in that election.</p>
<p>As the Greatest generation has mostly passed from the scene, members of the Silent generation – most of whom came of age politically during the Truman and Eisenhower presidencies – have come to make up an increasing share of voters 65 and older. They have long voted less Democratic than the Greatest generation; in both 2008 and 2010, both Truman- and Eisenhower-era Silents voted more Republican than average.</p>
<p>The Baby Boom is a long generation, spanning many presidencies. The oldest, who turned 18 when LBJ was president, have mostly voted with the national electorate in recent years, though they voted more Republican than average in 2008. Those Boomers who came of age when Nixon was president retained a Democratic leaning, although they have voted with the overall electorate since 2006. The youngest Boomers, who mostly came of age in the Ford and Carter years, have been one of the most reliable Republican voting groups.</p>
<p>Internal divisions within Generation X are even more notable. The older portion of Generation X who came of age during the Reagan and George H.W. Bush presidencies, have voted more Republican than the electorate. In contrast, younger Xers, who became active politically during the Clinton administration, have mostly voted more Democratic than average. Millennials largely came of age during George W. Bush’s presidency and have consistently voted more Democratic by large margins.</p>
<h3>Best President in Your Lifetime?</h3>
<p>When asked which president has done the best job in their lifetime, more respondents name Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan than any other presidents. Sizeable numbers in each of the four generational groups, including majorities of Millennials and Gen Xers, cite Clinton as either their first or second choice as the best president. Reagan matches Clinton in mentions among Baby Boomers and members of the Silent generation.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-13/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035618"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-20035618" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-13.png" alt="" width="620" height="459" /></a></p>
<p>Despite the fact that many of them were quite young during Clinton’s years in office, nearly half (48%) of Millennials say Bill Clinton did the best job of any president in their lifetime. Another 12% cite him as second best. Fewer Millennials (37%) cite Obama as best or second-best. Relatively few (22%) say that George W. Bush was a favorite.</p>
<p>A majority of Xers also named Clinton as best (38%) or second-best (18%), while 43% cite Reagan (34% as best, 9% as second-best). Just 23% of Xers say that Obama is the best or second best president of their lifetimes; 18% cite George H. W. Bush and 14% cite George W. Bush.</p>
<p>Baby Boomers divide their loyalties about evenly between Clinton and Reagan, with 45% citing Reagan in either first (33%) or second (12%) place. About as many name Clinton as the best president (27%) or second-best (15%). About a quarter of Boomers (26%) cite John F. Kennedy.</p>
<p>Only among the Silent generation do presidents in office before Kennedy receive a significant number of mentions. But even among this older group, Clinton and Reagan are essentially tied for the top positions. Reagan is cited by 36% and Clinton by 35% as best or second-best. Kennedy is mentioned by 29%, Dwight D. Eisenhower by 17%, and Harry S Truman and Franklin D. Roosevelt are named by 11% and 12%, respectively.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/11/03/the-generation-gap-and-the-2012-election-3/11-3-11-14/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035619"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-20035619" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/11/11-3-11-14.png" alt="" width="620" height="261" /></a></p>
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		<title>Obama Draws More Confidence than GOP Leaders on Deficit</title>
		<link>http://www.people-press.org/2011/09/26/obama-draws-more-confidence-than-gop-leaders-on-deficit/</link>
		<comments>http://www.people-press.org/2011/09/26/obama-draws-more-confidence-than-gop-leaders-on-deficit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Sep 2011 19:15:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Overview As the nation prepares for another round of deficit reduction debates, the public’s confidence in congressional leaders, particularly Republican leaders in Congress, has plummeted. Just 35% say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in Republican leaders in Congress to do the right thing when it comes to dealing with the [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Overview</h2>
<p>As the nation prepares for another round of deficit reduction debates, the public’s confidence in congressional leaders, particularly Republican leaders in Congress, has plummeted. Jus<a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/09/26/obama-draws-more-confidence-than-gop-leaders-on-deficit/9-26-11-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035086"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035086" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/09/9-26-11-1.png" alt="" width="294" height="412" /></a>t 35% say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in Republican leaders in Congress to do the right thing when it comes to dealing with the federal budget deficit, down from 47% in May. Fully 62% say they have little or no confidence in the Republican leaders on this issue.</p>
<p>Public confidence in Barack Obama on the budget deficit, by comparison, has remained largely unchanged. The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People &amp; the Press, conducted Sept. 22-25 among 1,000 adults finds that 52% express at least a fair amount of confidence in Obama to do the right thing when it comes to dealing with the deficit, virtually unchanged from 55% earlier in the year.</p>
<p>The drop in confidence in GOP congressional leaders is broad based, even occurring among Republicans themselves. The share of Republicans confident in their party’s leaders on this issue has fallen from 76% four months ago to 62% today, with comparable declines among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who agree with the Tea Party and those who do not.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/09/26/obama-draws-more-confidence-than-gop-leaders-on-deficit/9-26-11-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035087"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035087" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/09/9-26-11-2.png" alt="" width="294" height="413" /></a>Public trust in Democratic congressional leaders has also suffered – 43% say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in Democratic leaders, down from 51% four months ago.</p>
<p>Democrats offer a more positive assessment of their leaders’ handling of the deficit than Republicans do of theirs. Fully 84% of Democrats have at least a fair amount of confidence in Obama to do the right thing regarding the deficit, and 75% are confident in Democratic leaders in Congress. This compares with 62% of Republicans who are confident in how GOP congressional leaders will handle this issue.</p>
<p>Independents are equally skeptical of both parties in Congress (35% have at least a fair amount of confidence in Republican leaders, 34% express confidence in Democratic leaders). Nearly half of independents (47%) say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in Obama to do the right thing when it comes to dealing with the federal budget deficit.</p>
<h3>Proposals to Reduce Deficit and Debt</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.people-press.org/2011/09/26/obama-draws-more-confidence-than-gop-leaders-on-deficit/9-26-11-3/" rel="attachment wp-att-20035088"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-20035088" src="http://www.people-press.org/files/2011/09/9-26-11-3.png" alt="" width="411" height="365" /></a>The survey also finds continued public support for raising the tax rate on high incomes as a way to reduce the federal budget deficit and the size of the national debt.</p>
<p>Two-thirds (67%) approve of raising the tax rate on incomes over $250,000 as a means of reducing the national debt. This is virtually unchanged from May (66% approve). Just 30% disapprove of raising tax rates for incomes above $250,000.</p>
<p>About half who approve of raising the tax rate on incomes above $250,000 – 33% of the public overall – say they strongly approve of this proposal. By contrast, only about a third of those who disapprove – 10% of the public – say they strongly disapprove of raising tax rates for incomes above $250,000.</p>
<p>Democrats overwhelming support raising the tax rate on income over $250,000; 82% of Democrats approve of this proposal and 67% of independents agree. As was the case in May, Republicans are divided: 47% approve and 51% disapprove of higher tax rates on income in excess of $250,000.</p>
<p>Views of other proposals to address the deficit and national debt also have changed only modestly since May. Two-thirds (66%) approve of reducing military commitments overseas to reduce the debt while 56% approve of limiting tax deductions for large corporations. While more Democrats (72%) than Republicans (54%) approve of reducing military commitments to reduce the debt, there are no partisan differences in opinions about limiting corporate tax deductions to achieve this goal (56% of Republicans and Democrats, 60% of independents).</p>
<p>Most Americans continue to oppose reducing federal government spending on programs to help lower income people (55% disapprove, 40% approve) to reduce the budget deficit and national debt. And two-thirds (66%) disapprove of reducing federal support to states for things like education and roads, while only about half that number (32%) approves of this proposal.</p>
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