Voter Predictions

Public Keeps Focus on Economy, Media on Elections

About Half Say GOP Likely to Win House Majority

Ground War More Intense Than 2006, Early Voting More Prevalent

Democrats Stirring But Are No Match for Energized Republicans

Section 1: The Midterm Vote

Fewer Journalists Stand Out in Fragmented News Universe

More Now Say GOP Likely to Win Control of House

Voting Intentions Even, Turnout Indicators Favor GOP

Growing Doubts About McCain's Judgment, Age and Campaign Conduct

Obama's Lead Widens: 52%-38%

Section 1: The Obama-McCain Matchup

Uncertain Times

by Andrew Kohut, President, Pew Research Center
Special to the New York Times

McCain Gains On Issues, But Stalls As Candidate Of Change

Presidential Race Remains Even

Section 1: The Obama-McCain Matchup

Likely Rise in Voter Turnout Bodes Well for Democrats

McCain's Enthusiasm Gap, Obama's Unity Gap

Section 3: The Obama-McCain Matchup

Obama Weathers the Wright Storm, Clinton Faces Credibility Problem.

National Discontent Approaches 20-Year High, Bush Approval at 28%

Section 2: The Democratic Primary

Obama Weathers the Wright Storm, Clinton Faces Credibility Problem.

National Discontent Approaches 20-Year High, Bush Approval at 28%

Section 4: The General Election

Public Faults Bush on Economy – 55% Say Jobs are Scarce

Kerry Makes Gains on Issues, Bush Maintains Leadership Image Advantage

Iraq Prison Scandal Hits Home, But Most Reject Troop Pullout

Economy and Anti-Terrorism Top Public's Policy Agenda

Dean Seen as More Liberal than Other Leading Candidates

Additional Findings and Analyses

Once Again, Voters Say: It's the Economy

Bush Reelect Margin Narrows to 45%-43%

Additional Findings and Analyses

66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In ’91

Bush Gains on Personal Qualities

Other Important Findings and Analyses

Voter Turnout May Slip Again

I. The Campaign: A Wide-Open Race