CommentaryDecember 12, 2003

Profile: Battleground States in the 2004 Presidential Election

National Public Radio

CommentaryDecember 9, 2003

Poll Focuses on Democratic Primary Voters

National Public Radio

PublicationsDecember 8, 2003

Primary Preview: Surveys in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina

Summary of Findings Voter opinion is still fluid in the early Democratic primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and especially South Carolina. As with the candidates themselves, there are significant disagreements among likely primary voters in these pivotal states on such key issues as how to deal with the postwar situation in Iraq, gay marriage […]

Multi-section ReportsMarch 23, 2000

Bush Pays Price for Primary Victory

Introduction and Summary The presidential primary season may prove to be a decisive factor in Campaign 2000, not only for who won, but for the way the winners emerged from the process in the eyes of the voters. Al Gore was clearly helped, and George W. Bush was just as clearly hurt. The vice president […]

CommentaryMarch 1, 2000

The Religious Landscape in Upcoming GOP Primary States

The religious profile of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party suggests that Senator John McCain’s attack on certain Christian Right leaders may cloud his chances to succeed in Southern states, as well as certain Midwestern and Western states where white evangelicals(1) make up the largest religious bloc of voters. This group comprises […]

Multi-section ReportsFebruary 17, 2000

McCain Appeals To Pivotal Older Voters and Independents

Introduction and Summary The outcome of the New Hampshire primary has changed candidate support patterns that last year seemed all but cast in stone. Al Gore has drawn into a statistical dead-heat with George W. Bush in a general-election ballot test, largely because core Democrats are rallying behind the vice president. At the same time, […]

CommentaryFebruary 2, 2000

Bush Faces Stature Gap, Bradley a Gender Gap

Notes from the New Hampshire Exit Polls

CommentaryJanuary 28, 2000

Bradley Deficit Daunting; Bush Closer

The New Hampshire Polls

Multi-section ReportsJanuary 19, 2000

Gore Gains, Bradley Looks More Liberal

Introduction and Summary With the start of the new year, the presidential campaign has begun in earnest for many Americans. More people are paying attention now than in the fall, and the back and forth between candidates has started to change voter perceptions. In particular, Al Gore has begun to redefine himself and challenger Bill […]

CommentaryMarch 14, 1996

Polls Trounce Pundits In Forecasting Primaries

Also: Wither The Perot Voter; Polling On The Buchanan Message; And You Think The Republican Party is Divided

Multi-section ReportsFebruary 29, 1996

Class Collisions in Response to Buchanan, Nationwide

Introduction and Summary Pat Buchanan’s populist appeals have broadened and strengthened his base as a GOP primary candidate, but at the expense of potential support from key groups that typically vote Republican in presidential elections. A 52% majority of college graduates and 53% of those who earn $75,000 a year or more are displeased with […]

CommentaryFebruary 13, 1996

Volatility Still to Come in New Hampshire

Also: The Big Poll That Didn’t

Multi-section ReportsFebruary 2, 1996

New Hampshire Voters Fault Candidates, Media And TV Ads

Introduction and Summary New Hampshire voters are not very happy these days. Fully 71% are dissatisfied with conditions in the country. Like American voters elsewhere, large majorities are worried about meeting their financial obligations in the future, even though the condition of the economy is not as dominant an issue in the state as it […]

PublicationsJanuary 29, 1996

Forbes Draws Even With Dole In New Hampshire

Report Summary Political newcomer Steve Forbes has moved into a statistical tie with Bob Dole for top honors in the New Hampshire primary.  A Pew Research Center poll of 543 likely voters taken January 25-28 finds the millionaire publisher leading the Senator 29% to 24%, but the lead is within the poll’s margin of sampling […]

CommentaryJanuary 3, 1996

The Iowa Echo, And Playing For Second In New Hampshire

Also: Centrism, No Passing Fancy; Small Changes In Question Wording Department