CommentaryDecember 6, 2004

Religion and the Presidential Vote

Bush’s Gains Broad-Based

CommentaryNovember 23, 2004

Pre-Election Polls Largely Accurate

Lessons From Campaign ’04

CommentaryOctober 26, 2004

Candidates Battle Over First-Time Voters, Mothers

A Closer Look at Key Groups

CommentaryOctober 21, 2004

Polls Apart

by Andrew Kohut in the New York Times

CommentarySeptember 30, 2004

Young People More Engaged, More Uncertain

Debates More Important to Young Voters

CommentarySeptember 24, 2004

When Presidential Debates Matter

Pew Research Center Commentary

CommentarySeptember 23, 2004

Party Affiliation: What it is and What it Isn’t

During every presidential election, questions arise over the results of political polls and how those surveys are conducted. This year’s hot topic is the partisan composition of the leading national polls. Politicians and pundits alike now scrutinize a survey sample’s partisan split as closely as the horse-race results. Surveys that are deemed to have “too […]

CommentarySeptember 9, 2004

Views of Islam Remain Sharply Divided

Plurality Sees Islam as More Likely to Encourage Violence

CommentaryJuly 26, 2004

Democrats Gain Edge in Party Identification

The Democratic Party has achieved a small gain in party affiliation and holds a 33%-29% edge over the GOP in Pew surveys conducted in 2004. This represents a modest shift from the two year period following the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, when the Republican Party had drawn virtually even with the Democrats. The current […]

CommentaryJuly 23, 2004

Bush Holds Modest Advantage Among Veterans

Despite Sen. John Kerry’s military background and his campaign’s concerted efforts to court veterans, he runs no better among this group than Al Gore did four years ago. Based on surveys conducted March, May, June and July, men who have served in the armed forces favor Bush over Kerry by a 49% to 40% margin. […]

CommentaryJuly 16, 2004

Horse Race Polls Not More Variable This Year

Lead Changes Contribute to Erroneous Perception

CommentaryJuly 13, 2004

Reading the Polls on Gay Marriage and the Constitution

Pew Research Center Pollwatch

CommentaryJuly 11, 2004

More News Is Not Necessarily Good News

by Andrew Kohut in the New York Times

CommentaryMay 13, 2004

Global Gender Gaps

By Nicole Speulda and Mary McIntosh

CommentaryMay 12, 2004

Why the Polls Don’t Add Up

by Andrew Kohut in The New York Times

CommentaryApril 23, 2004

Abortion a More Powerful Issue for Women

Public divisions over access to abortion are long-standing, and have changed only slightly over the past two decades. Currently, 58% say they oppose making it more difficult for a woman to get an abortion, while 36% are in favor of further restrictions. This is virtually unchanged from polling conducted in the early 1990s. In 1987, […]

CommentaryMarch 2, 2004

The C-SPAN Audience

After 25 Years…

CommentaryFebruary 24, 2004

A Global Generation Gap

Adapting to a New World

CommentaryJanuary 30, 2004

Democratic Candidates Face Southern Voters

Southern Democrats More Culturally Conservative, Not So Different Otherwise

CommentaryJanuary 29, 2004

A Good Day for the Pollsters

The Accuracy of Pre-Election Tracking Polls in New Hampshire