Dole Appeal Nearly Record Low
As the 1996 election campaign draws to an end, Bob Dole rates as one of the least appealing major party presidential candidates of almost four decades, according to an analysis of favorability ratings by Larry Hugick, director of political surveys at Princeton Survey Research Associates. He ranks 19th out of 20 candidates since 1960. Bill […]
Generic Congressional Measures Less Accurate In Presidential Years
The polling lesson of 1994 was learned first by the Gallup Poll in the 1950’s… that a generic measure of partisan support for House races in a nationwide poll can do a good job of estimating the popular vote for the Congressional election. Consequently, it is an excellent basis for predicting the number of seats […]
Bill Clinton’s Big Lead and The Electoral College
Also: Tax Cuts and Deficit Reduction In What Context?; Chance Error and Horse Race Leads
Bill Clinton’s Solid Lead
Bill Clinton’s lead in the polls is impressive compared to other early front runners in recent presidential elections. His margin over Bob Dole is large, consistent and trending upward. Only Ronald Reagan in 1984 enjoyed all of these advantages. Four out of the six nationwide surveys conducted in early to mid-April show that Clinton’s lead […]
Polls Trounce Pundits In Forecasting Primaries
Also: Wither The Perot Voter; Polling On The Buchanan Message; And You Think The Republican Party is Divided
Volatility Still to Come in New Hampshire
Also: The Big Poll That Didn’t
Chance Error and Bill Clinton’s Political Fortunes
The big difference this week between the CNN/USA/Gallup poll and ABC/WP poll is the first major polling disparity of the ’96 campaign. Gallup’s results indicate that support for the President has tumbled sharply, while the GOP leadership is viewed more favorably than a month ago. In sharp contrast, the ABC/WP poll found no trend away […]
The Iowa Echo, And Playing For Second In New Hampshire
Also: Centrism, No Passing Fancy; Small Changes In Question Wording Department
