Survey Reports Dec. 20, 2004

Public Opinion Little Changed by Presidential Election

Summary of Findings Six weeks after President Bush’s victory, the divisions that were so apparent in the election show no signs of narrowing. The public remains split over the president’s job performance, the situation in Iraq, and the state of the national economy. But Bush voters are upbeat on all three questions ­ 92% approve […]

Commentary Dec. 6, 2004

Religion and the Presidential Vote

Bush’s Gains Broad-Based

Commentary Nov. 23, 2004

Pre-Election Polls Largely Accurate

Lessons From Campaign ’04

Survey Reports Nov. 11, 2004

Voters Liked Campaign 2004, But Too Much ’Mud-Slinging’

Summary of Findings Campaign 2004 receives generally favorable marks from the voters. An overwhelming 86% say they learned enough about the candidates to make an informed choice, while two-thirds express satisfaction with the choice of candidates. However, voters also believe this campaign was more negative than previous contests ­ 72% say there was more mud-slinging […]

Survey Reports Oct. 31, 2004

Slight Bush Margin in Final Days of Campaign

Summary of Findings President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center’s final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided. […]

Survey Reports Oct. 27, 2004

Swing Voters Slow to Decide, Still Cross-Pressured

Summary of Findings With less than a week to go before the election, many swing voters have yet to commit to a candidate, but over the past month there has been some movement among this group toward Sen. John Kerry. A Pew Research Center follow-up survey with 519 swing voters ­ who in September were […]

Commentary Oct. 26, 2004

Candidates Battle Over First-Time Voters, Mothers

A Closer Look at Key Groups

Survey Reports Oct. 24, 2004

Voters Impressed with Campaign

Summary of Findings Voters express increasingly positive opinions of the 2004 presidential campaign. Virtually all voters ­ 96% ­ believe the campaign is important, while a growing number also view the campaign as interesting. Fully two-thirds of voters (66%) describe the campaign as interesting, up from 50% in early September and just 35% in June. […]

Commentary Oct. 21, 2004

Polls Apart

by Andrew Kohut in the New York Times

Survey Reports Oct. 20, 2004

Race Tightens Again, Kerry’s Image Improves

Summary of Findings As the campaign heads into its final stages, the presidential race is again extremely close. The latest Pew Research Center survey of 1,307 registered voters, conducted Oct. 15-19, finds President George W. Bush and Sen. John Kerry tied at 45%-45% among registered voters, and 47%-47% among likely voters.(1) These findings represent a […]

Survey Reports Oct. 5, 2004

Debate Coverage Viewed Favorably

Summary of Findings Amid an increasingly divisive presidential campaign, voters largely agree in their positive assessments of news coverage of the first presidential debate. Solid majorities of certain Bush voters (55%), certain Kerry supporters (62%), and swing voters (60%) rate the coverage of the debate as good or excellent. Voters also generally think that the […]

Survey Reports Oct. 4, 2004

Kerry Wins Debate, But Little Change in Candidate Images

Summary of Findings By two-to-one, voters who watched the first presidential debate believe that John Kerry prevailed. But the widely viewed Sept. 30 showdown did not result in a sea change in opinions of the candidates. As a consequence, George W. Bush continues to have a much stronger personal image than his Democratic challenger, while […]

Commentary Sep. 30, 2004

Young People More Engaged, More Uncertain

Debates More Important to Young Voters

Survey Reports Sep. 28, 2004

Bush Margin Widens Again, Despite Vulnerabilities

Summary of Findings George W. Bush has reopened a significant lead over challenger John Kerry over the past week, even as voters express less confidence in the president on Iraq and he continues to trail Kerry on the economy. Two successive nationwide surveys of nearly 1,000 registered voters each show Bush’s margin over Kerry growing […]

Commentary Sep. 24, 2004

When Presidential Debates Matter

Pew Research Center Commentary

Commentary Sep. 23, 2004

Party Affiliation: What it is and What it Isn’t

During every presidential election, questions arise over the results of political polls and how those surveys are conducted. This year’s hot topic is the partisan composition of the leading national polls. Politicians and pundits alike now scrutinize a survey sample’s partisan split as closely as the horse-race results. Surveys that are deemed to have “too […]

Survey Reports Sep. 17, 2004

Iraq Support Steady in Face of Higher Casualties

Summary of Findings Most Americans think that the United States is winning the war on terrorism, and a solid majority believes that Al Qaeda and related terrorist groups are weaker now than they were before the Sept. 11 attacks. In addition, somewhat more Americans believe the war in Iraq has helped the war on terrorism […]

Survey Reports Sep. 16, 2004

Kerry Support Rebounds, Race Again Even

Introduction and Summary Voter opinion in the presidential race has seesawed dramatically in the first two weeks of September. Following a successful nominating convention, George W. Bush broke open a deadlocked contest and jumped out to a big lead over John Kerry. However, polling this past week finds that Bush’s edge over his Democratic rival […]

Commentary Sep. 9, 2004

Views of Islam Remain Sharply Divided

Plurality Sees Islam as More Likely to Encourage Violence

Survey Reports Aug. 24, 2004

GOP the Religion-Friendly Party

Summary of Findings As the Republicans gather in New York to nominate George W. Bush for a second term, more Americans see the Republican Party than the Democratic Party as friendly toward religion. And most express comfort with President Bush’s reliance on his religious beliefs in making policy decisions. On the issue of gay marriage, […]